USA · Major League Soccer

San Diego vs Houston Dynamo

Kick-off 03:30 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

San Diego 47.1% Draw 24.5% Houston Dynamo 28.4%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to San Diego: 7 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

San Diego

D L L L W W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Houston Dynamo

D L D L W D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Diego win47.1%

Draw24.5%

Houston Dynamo win28.4%

Over 1.5 goals86.6%

Over 2.5 goals66.2%

Over 3.5 goals44.3%

Both teams to score67.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

87.3%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Home or Draw (1X)70.4%

Both Halves Over 0.566.4%

Goal in Both Halves66.4%

Draw No Bet - Home62.0%

Draw or Away (X2)51.6%

Home Win48.4%

Draw No Bet - Away38.0%

Away Win29.6%

Draw22.0%

Exactly 1 Goal11.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals87.0%

Over 1.5 Goals85.4%

Under 4.5 Goals74.3%

Over 2.5 Goals66.2%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 3.5 Goals55.7%

1-3 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.3%

4+ Goals44.3%

2-3 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals33.8%

1-2 Goals30.5%

Over 4.5 Goals25.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.2%

Under 1.5 Goals14.6%

Over 5.5 Goals13.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.5%

Away Team to Score77.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.0%

Home Clean Sheet22.9%

Home Win to Nil19.5%

Away Clean Sheet14.5%

Away Win to Nil11.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.5%

Away Over 0.577.1%

Home Over 1.557.5%

Away Over 1.543.4%

Away Exactly 133.7%

Home Over 2.530.5%

Home 3+ Goals30.5%

Home Exactly 128.0%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 224.9%

Away Exactly 022.9%

Away Over 2.518.5%

Away 3+ Goals18.5%

Home Exactly 014.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.0%

Home to win by 121.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 116.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 214.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.7%

Home to win by 3+12.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 28.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.0%

Away to win by 3+5.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.5%

Home & Over 2.535.8%

Home & BTTS28.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.4%

Away & Over 2.521.1%

Home & No BTTS19.5%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Away & BTTS18.4%

Draw & Under 2.512.8%

Home & Under 2.512.6%

Away & No BTTS11.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

Away & Under 2.58.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.4%

HT Under 1.554.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.3%

HT Home Win38.0%

HT Draw36.0%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT/FT Home/Home30.3%

HT Both Teams Score28.2%

HT Away Win26.1%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.6%

HT/FT Away/Away17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners69.5%

Under 11.5 Corners66.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners58.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners57.7%

Over 9.5 Corners57.3%

Under 10.5 Corners55.2%

Over 10.5 Corners44.8%

Home Most Corners44.3%

Away Most Corners43.1%

Under 9.5 Corners42.7%

Over 11.5 Corners33.2%

Under 8.5 Corners30.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards77.3%

Under 5.5 Cards77.3%

Under 4.5 Cards61.4%

Over 3.5 Cards58.1%

Under 3.5 Cards41.9%

Over 4.5 Cards38.6%

Under 2.5 Cards22.7%

Over 5.5 Cards22.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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