USA · Major League Soccer

San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

San Diego 73.3% Draw 14.2% Los Angeles Galaxy 12.5%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to San Diego: 10 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

San Diego

W L W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Los Angeles Galaxy

W L D D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 3:8 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Diego win73.3%

Draw14.2%

Los Angeles Galaxy win12.5%

Over 1.5 goals96.0%

Over 2.5 goals86.3%

Over 3.5 goals71.4%

Both teams to score75.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

88.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.3%

Home or Away (12)86.0%

Draw No Bet - Home85.1%

Both Halves Over 0.582.7%

Goal in Both Halves82.7%

Home Win73.2%

Draw or Away (X2)26.0%

Draw No Bet - Away14.9%

Draw13.1%

Away Win12.9%

Exactly 1 Goal3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals85.6%

Over 3.5 Goals70.8%

4+ Goals70.8%

Under 5.5 Goals64.7%

Over 4.5 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals47.2%

2-4 Goals41.8%

Over 5.5 Goals35.3%

3-4 Goals32.7%

Under 3.5 Goals29.2%

1-3 Goals27.6%

2-3 Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals14.8%

Under 2.5 Goals14.4%

1-2 Goals12.8%

Exactly 2 Goals9.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score76.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.1%

Home Clean Sheet22.7%

Home Win to Nil21.9%

Away Clean Sheet3.4%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.584.4%

Away Over 0.576.5%

Home Over 2.565.1%

Home 3+ Goals65.1%

Away Over 1.543.1%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 022.7%

Home Exactly 219.3%

Away Over 2.518.4%

Away 3+ Goals18.4%

Home Exactly 111.4%

Home Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home55.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)43.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away43.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.3%

Home to win by 3+37.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 117.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.6%

Away to win by 17.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.5%

Away to win by 23.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.1%

Home & Over 2.566.2%

Home & BTTS51.3%

Home & No BTTS21.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.5%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

Away & Over 2.510.9%

Away & BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.5%

Home & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Under 2.54.6%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.8%

HT Over 1.564.3%

HT Home Win58.2%

HT/FT Home/Home52.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Both Teams Score38.0%

HT Under 1.535.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.7%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT Away Win16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.0%

HT Under 0.511.2%

HT/FT Away/Away7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners78.2%

Over 9.5 Corners67.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners66.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Over 10.5 Corners56.0%

Under 11.5 Corners55.9%

Home Most Corners45.9%

Over 11.5 Corners44.1%

Under 10.5 Corners44.0%

Away Most Corners42.0%

Under 9.5 Corners32.3%

Under 8.5 Corners21.8%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards87.5%

Over 3.5 Cards73.5%

Under 5.5 Cards61.6%

Over 4.5 Cards56.0%

Under 4.5 Cards44.0%

Over 5.5 Cards38.4%

Under 3.5 Cards26.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards20.0%

Under 2.5 Cards12.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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