USA · Major League Soccer

San Diego vs Seattle Sounders

Full time · 2:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

San Diego 41.8% Draw 17.7% Seattle Sounders 40.5%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 90%

✓ Pick was correct (2:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Seattle Sounders: 2 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.3%

Exact-score model probability

San Diego

D L D L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 9:17 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.83

Seattle Sounders

D L W W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

San Diego 0wins ·1 draws ·Seattle Sounders 0wins

San Diego 1-1 Seattle SoundersMay 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Diego win41.8%

Draw17.7%

Seattle Sounders win40.5%

Over 1.5 goals98.3%

Over 2.5 goals92.9%

Over 3.5 goals83.1%

Both teams to score89.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

88.9%

Goal in Both Halves

88.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.9%

Goal in Both Halves88.9%

Home or Away (12)82.4%

Home or Draw (1X)58.8%

Draw or Away (X2)57.6%

Draw No Bet - Home50.7%

Draw No Bet - Away49.3%

Home Win41.8%

Away Win40.6%

Draw16.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals97.4%

Over 2.5 Goals92.3%

Over 3.5 Goals82.6%

4+ Goals82.6%

Over 4.5 Goals68.4%

Over 5.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 5.5 Goals48.1%

Under 4.5 Goals31.6%

2-4 Goals28.9%

3-4 Goals23.9%

Under 3.5 Goals17.4%

1-3 Goals16.5%

2-3 Goals14.8%

Exactly 3 Goals9.7%

Under 2.5 Goals7.7%

1-2 Goals6.7%

Exactly 2 Goals5.0%

Under 1.5 Goals2.6%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.1%

Away Team to Score93.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.2%

Home Clean Sheet5.5%

Away Clean Sheet5.3%

Home Win to Nil5.2%

Away Win to Nil5.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.1%

Away Over 0.593.8%

Home Over 1.578.5%

Away Over 1.577.9%

Home Over 2.555.6%

Home 3+ Goals55.6%

Away Over 2.554.7%

Away 3+ Goals54.7%

Away Exactly 223.1%

Home Exactly 222.9%

Away Exactly 116.0%

Home Exactly 115.6%

Away Exactly 05.5%

Home Exactly 05.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 115.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.3%

Away to win by 115.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.5%

Home to win by 3+14.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.8%

Away to win by 3+13.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 211.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.3%

Home & Over 2.539.7%

Away & Over 2.538.5%

Home & BTTS36.6%

Away & BTTS35.6%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

Draw & Over 2.514.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.0%

Home & No BTTS5.2%

Away & No BTTS5.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Draw & Under 2.52.8%

BTTS & Under 2.52.5%

Home & Under 2.52.1%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.7%

HT Over 1.573.6%

HT Both Teams Score53.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.1%

HT Home Win37.3%

HT Away Win36.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home27.1%

HT Under 1.526.4%

HT Draw26.3%

HT/FT Away/Away26.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%

HT Under 0.57.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away4.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners72.5%

Over 8.5 Corners63.8%

Under 10.5 Corners61.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners57.4%

Over 9.5 Corners51.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Under 9.5 Corners49.0%

Home Most Corners48.8%

Over 10.5 Corners38.6%

Away Most Corners38.3%

Under 8.5 Corners36.2%

Over 11.5 Corners27.5%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards77.9%

Over 2.5 Cards76.8%

Under 4.5 Cards62.1%

Over 3.5 Cards57.5%

Under 3.5 Cards42.5%

Over 4.5 Cards37.9%

Under 2.5 Cards23.2%

Over 5.5 Cards22.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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