USA · Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids

Kick-off 03:30 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

San Jose Earthquakes 56.0% Draw 22.4% Colorado Rapids 21.6%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to San Jose Earthquakes: 9 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

San Jose Earthquakes

L D D D W W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Colorado Rapids

W D D D D D

Form 1-5-0 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

San Jose Earthquakes 0wins ·1 draws ·Colorado Rapids 0wins

San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Colorado RapidsOct 11, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Jose Earthquakes win56.0%

Draw22.4%

Colorado Rapids win21.6%

Over 1.5 goals88.1%

Over 2.5 goals69.0%

Over 3.5 goals47.6%

Both teams to score67.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Home or Draw (1X)77.2%

Draw No Bet - Home71.5%

Both Halves Over 0.568.6%

Goal in Both Halves68.6%

Home Win57.1%

Draw or Away (X2)42.9%

Draw No Bet - Away28.5%

Away Win22.7%

Draw20.2%

Exactly 1 Goal10.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals87.0%

Under 5.5 Goals85.0%

Under 4.5 Goals71.4%

Over 2.5 Goals69.0%

2-4 Goals58.4%

Under 3.5 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.5%

Over 3.5 Goals47.6%

4+ Goals47.6%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.4%

Under 2.5 Goals31.0%

Over 4.5 Goals28.6%

1-2 Goals28.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 2 Goals18.0%

Over 5.5 Goals15.0%

Under 1.5 Goals13.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.0%

Away Team to Score74.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.1%

Home Clean Sheet26.0%

Home Win to Nil23.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.9%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.0%

Away Over 0.574.0%

Home Over 1.564.9%

Away Over 1.539.0%

Home Over 2.538.1%

Home 3+ Goals38.1%

Away Exactly 135.0%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 026.0%

Home Exactly 124.2%

Away Exactly 223.6%

Away Over 2.515.4%

Away 3+ Goals15.4%

Home Exactly 010.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.7%

Home to win by 121.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.3%

Home to win by 3+18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 113.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 26.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.2%

Away to win by 3+3.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.4%

Home & Over 2.543.8%

Home & BTTS33.9%

Home & No BTTS23.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.5%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Away & Over 2.516.3%

Away & BTTS14.6%

Home & Under 2.513.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.6%

Draw & Under 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.58.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.5%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.9%

HT Under 1.552.4%

HT Over 1.547.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.3%

HT Home Win43.9%

HT/FT Home/Home37.1%

HT Draw34.3%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.7%

HT Away Win21.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.520.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.3%

HT/FT Away/Away13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners76.1%

Under 10.5 Corners65.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Away Most Corners63.7%

Over 8.5 Corners59.8%

Under 9.5 Corners53.3%

Over 9.5 Corners46.7%

Under 8.5 Corners40.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners35.5%

Over 10.5 Corners34.4%

Home Most Corners24.7%

Over 11.5 Corners23.9%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards89.2%

Over 3.5 Cards76.3%

Over 4.5 Cards59.5%

Under 5.5 Cards57.9%

Over 5.5 Cards42.1%

Under 4.5 Cards40.5%

Under 3.5 Cards23.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards20.8%

Under 2.5 Cards10.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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