USA · Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91% confidence

San Jose Earthquakes 1.6% Draw 7.1% Houston Dynamo 91.3%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 34%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

91%

Draw No Bet - Away

DNB away — draw refunds stake

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 14.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Houston Dynamo: 5 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.1%

Exact-score model probability

San Jose Earthquakes

W D D L L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Houston Dynamo

W D D L W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 1

San Jose Earthquakes 0wins ·1 draws ·Houston Dynamo 0wins

San Jose Earthquakes 0-0 Houston DynamoAug 30, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Jose Earthquakes win1.6%

Draw7.1%

Houston Dynamo win91.3%

Over 1.5 goals90.5%

Over 2.5 goals74.6%

Over 3.5 goals54.5%

Both teams to score34.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Win

90.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away97.8%

Draw or Away (X2)97.0%

Home or Away (12)92.7%

Away Win90.7%

Both Halves Over 0.573.2%

Goal in Both Halves73.2%

Home or Draw (1X)8.3%

Exactly 1 Goal7.8%

Draw6.3%

Draw No Bet - Home2.2%

Home Win2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals89.2%

Under 5.5 Goals80.8%

Over 2.5 Goals73.9%

Under 4.5 Goals65.6%

2-4 Goals54.8%

Over 3.5 Goals54.0%

4+ Goals54.0%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Under 3.5 Goals46.0%

1-3 Goals43.1%

3-4 Goals39.5%

2-3 Goals35.3%

Over 4.5 Goals34.4%

Under 2.5 Goals26.1%

1-2 Goals23.1%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Over 5.5 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals10.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)66.6%

Away Clean Sheet64.6%

Away Win to Nil62.6%

Home Team to Score34.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)33.4%

Home Clean Sheet3.1%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Away Over 1.585.3%

Away Over 2.566.7%

Away 3+ Goals66.7%

Home Exactly 064.6%

Home Over 0.534.5%

Home Exactly 127.6%

Away Exactly 218.6%

Away Exactly 110.7%

Home Over 1.56.9%

Home Exactly 25.9%

Away Exactly 03.1%

Home Over 2.50.9%

Home 3+ Goals0.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)90.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)88.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home78.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away77.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home61.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)57.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away57.7%

Away to win by 3+57.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)41.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home41.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)37.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away37.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home21.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away21.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw20.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 219.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 113.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw10.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away10.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home8.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw1.7%

Home to win by 11.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 20.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.571.6%

Away & No BTTS62.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.543.5%

BTTS & Over 2.530.4%

Away & BTTS28.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.1%

Away & Under 2.519.1%

Draw & Under 2.55.0%

Draw & BTTS4.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & Over 2.51.3%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

Home & Over 2.51.0%

Home & Under 2.51.0%

Home & BTTS0.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Away Win73.0%

HT/FT Away/Away71.7%

HT Over 1.552.5%

HT Under 1.547.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw22.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.9%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT Both Teams Score13.9%

HT Home Win4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Home/Home1.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners78.7%

Under 10.5 Corners68.6%

Over 8.5 Corners56.6%

Under 9.5 Corners56.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners48.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners48.1%

Away Most Corners43.7%

Over 9.5 Corners43.5%

Under 8.5 Corners43.4%

Home Most Corners42.9%

Over 10.5 Corners31.4%

Over 11.5 Corners21.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards78.0%

Over 2.5 Cards76.7%

Under 4.5 Cards62.2%

Over 3.5 Cards57.3%

Under 3.5 Cards42.7%

Over 4.5 Cards37.8%

Under 2.5 Cards23.3%

Over 5.5 Cards22.0%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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