USA · Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

80% confidence

San Jose Earthquakes 8.2% Draw 11.8% Los Angeles FC 80.0%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to San Jose Earthquakes: 8 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

San Jose Earthquakes

W W D D L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Los Angeles FC

L W D D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Jose Earthquakes win8.2%

Draw11.8%

Los Angeles FC win80.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.8%

Over 2.5 goals86.0%

Over 3.5 goals70.9%

Both teams to score69.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Draw or Away (X2)

90.3%

Draw No Bet - Away

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)90.3%

Draw No Bet - Away90.3%

Home or Away (12)88.0%

Both Halves Over 0.582.5%

Goal in Both Halves82.5%

Away Win79.5%

Home or Draw (1X)19.3%

Draw10.8%

Draw No Bet - Home9.7%

Home Win8.5%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals85.0%

Over 3.5 Goals70.1%

4+ Goals70.1%

Under 5.5 Goals65.5%

Over 4.5 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 4.5 Goals48.0%

2-4 Goals42.2%

Over 5.5 Goals34.5%

3-4 Goals33.0%

Under 3.5 Goals29.9%

1-3 Goals28.0%

2-3 Goals24.1%

Under 2.5 Goals15.0%

Exactly 3 Goals14.9%

1-2 Goals13.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.2%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score70.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.9%

Away Clean Sheet28.8%

Away Win to Nil28.0%

Home Clean Sheet2.7%

Home Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.586.4%

Home Over 0.570.0%

Away Over 2.568.7%

Away 3+ Goals68.7%

Home Exactly 135.5%

Home Over 1.534.5%

Home Exactly 028.8%

Home Exactly 221.9%

Away Exactly 217.6%

Home Over 2.512.6%

Home 3+ Goals12.6%

Away Exactly 19.8%

Away Exactly 02.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home83.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)79.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home70.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away63.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)53.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home53.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)44.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away44.9%

Away to win by 3+44.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home35.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away27.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home19.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 218.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 116.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away15.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw8.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.5%

Home to win by 15.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.2%

Home to win by 22.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%

Home to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.571.5%

BTTS & Over 2.564.6%

Away & BTTS51.5%

Away & No BTTS28.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.3%

Draw & BTTS10.0%

Away & Under 2.58.0%

Home & Over 2.57.0%

Home & BTTS6.6%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Home & No BTTS1.9%

Home & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.7%

HT Over 1.564.1%

HT Away Win63.6%

HT/FT Away/Away59.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Under 1.535.9%

HT Both Teams Score34.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.4%

HT Home Win12.3%

HT Under 0.511.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Home4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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