USA · Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC

● LIVE 63' · 1:3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

San Jose Earthquakes 35.7% Draw 21.6% Minnesota United FC 42.7%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

San Jose Earthquakes

L L L D L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:14 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.33

Minnesota United FC

L D D D L D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Jose Earthquakes win35.7%

Draw21.6%

Minnesota United FC win42.7%

Over 1.5 goals93.5%

Over 2.5 goals80.0%

Over 3.5 goals61.8%

Both teams to score78.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.8%

Away Team to Score

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.0%

Both Halves Over 0.577.3%

Goal in Both Halves77.3%

Draw or Away (X2)63.4%

Home or Draw (1X)56.4%

Draw No Bet - Away54.3%

Draw No Bet - Home45.7%

Away Win43.5%

Home Win36.5%

Draw19.9%

Exactly 1 Goal5.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals92.6%

Over 2.5 Goals79.9%

Under 5.5 Goals74.1%

Over 3.5 Goals61.8%

4+ Goals61.8%

Under 4.5 Goals57.6%

2-4 Goals50.2%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 4.5 Goals42.4%

Under 3.5 Goals38.2%

3-4 Goals37.5%

1-3 Goals36.7%

2-3 Goals30.8%

Over 5.5 Goals25.9%

Under 2.5 Goals20.1%

1-2 Goals18.6%

Exactly 3 Goals18.1%

Exactly 2 Goals12.7%

Under 1.5 Goals7.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.2%

Home Team to Score87.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.4%

Away Clean Sheet12.9%

Away Win to Nil11.5%

Home Clean Sheet10.7%

Home Win to Nil9.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.2%

Home Over 0.587.0%

Away Over 1.565.2%

Home Over 1.560.5%

Away Over 2.538.5%

Away 3+ Goals38.5%

Home Over 2.533.5%

Home 3+ Goals33.5%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 126.4%

Away Exactly 123.9%

Home Exactly 012.9%

Away Exactly 010.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.1%

Away to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 212.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.5%

Away to win by 3+12.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 210.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.1%

Home to win by 3+9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.3%

Away & Over 2.536.9%

Away & BTTS32.0%

Home & Over 2.530.8%

Home & BTTS27.2%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & Over 2.512.2%

Away & No BTTS11.5%

Home & No BTTS9.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Under 2.57.7%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Home & Under 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.4%

HT Over 1.557.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Under 1.542.7%

HT Both Teams Score38.1%

HT Away Win36.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Home Win32.0%

HT Draw31.5%

HT/FT Away/Away27.4%

HT/FT Home/Home22.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT Under 0.514.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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