USA · Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

San Jose Earthquakes 14.3% Draw 14.0% Nashville SC 71.7%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Nashville SC: 12 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

San Jose Earthquakes

D D W W W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

Nashville SC

W W W W D L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 16:5 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Jose Earthquakes win14.3%

Draw14.0%

Nashville SC win71.7%

Over 1.5 goals97.3%

Over 2.5 goals90.1%

Over 3.5 goals77.8%

Both teams to score80.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.0%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.2%

Goal in Both Halves86.2%

Home or Away (12)85.8%

Draw or Away (X2)84.3%

Draw No Bet - Away83.0%

Away Win71.2%

Home or Draw (1X)27.6%

Draw No Bet - Home17.0%

Home Win14.5%

Draw13.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals89.0%

Over 3.5 Goals76.8%

4+ Goals76.8%

Over 4.5 Goals60.6%

Under 5.5 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Over 5.5 Goals43.3%

Under 4.5 Goals39.4%

2-4 Goals35.2%

3-4 Goals28.4%

Under 3.5 Goals23.2%

1-3 Goals21.5%

2-3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 3 Goals12.1%

Under 2.5 Goals11.0%

1-2 Goals9.4%

Exactly 2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score81.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.9%

Away Clean Sheet17.4%

Away Win to Nil17.0%

Home Clean Sheet2.7%

Home Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.586.4%

Home Over 0.581.4%

Away Over 2.568.7%

Away 3+ Goals68.7%

Home Over 1.551.1%

Home Exactly 130.2%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Home Over 2.524.9%

Home 3+ Goals24.9%

Away Exactly 217.6%

Home Exactly 017.4%

Away Exactly 19.8%

Away Exactly 02.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home61.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)54.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away54.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)44.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home44.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)36.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away36.9%

Away to win by 3+36.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home27.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 217.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 116.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)14.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.1%

Home to win by 18.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.0%

Home to win by 24.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.4%

Home to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.2%

Away & Over 2.566.4%

Away & BTTS54.3%

Away & No BTTS17.0%

Home & Over 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.8%

Draw & BTTS12.6%

Home & BTTS12.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.8%

Away & Under 2.54.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.5%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Home & No BTTS2.2%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.0%

HT Over 1.569.3%

HT Away Win57.5%

HT/FT Away/Away51.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

HT Both Teams Score43.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.7%

HT Draw24.6%

HT Home Win17.9%

Equal Goals Each Half17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.1%

HT Under 0.59.0%

HT/FT Home/Home8.4%

HT/FT Home/Away5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners84.5%

Under 10.5 Corners75.9%

Under 9.5 Corners64.8%

Under 8.5 Corners51.7%

Over 8.5 Corners48.3%

Away Most Corners45.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners44.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Home Most Corners40.3%

Over 9.5 Corners35.2%

Over 10.5 Corners24.1%

Over 11.5 Corners15.5%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards79.2%

Over 2.5 Cards75.6%

Under 4.5 Cards63.7%

Over 3.5 Cards55.8%

Under 3.5 Cards44.2%

Over 4.5 Cards36.3%

Under 2.5 Cards24.4%

Over 5.5 Cards20.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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