USA · Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Sep 27

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

San Jose Earthquakes 18.5% Draw 17.0% Portland Timbers 64.5%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to San Jose Earthquakes: 8 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

San Jose Earthquakes

W W D D L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Portland Timbers

L L D W L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

San Jose Earthquakes 1wins ·0 draws ·Portland Timbers 0wins

San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland TimbersMay 24, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Jose Earthquakes win18.5%

Draw17.0%

Portland Timbers win64.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.7%

Over 2.5 goals85.4%

Over 3.5 goals70.0%

Both teams to score78.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

90.9%

HT Over 0.5

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.8%

Both Halves Over 0.581.9%

Goal in Both Halves81.9%

Draw or Away (X2)80.5%

Draw No Bet - Away77.3%

Away Win64.8%

Home or Draw (1X)34.8%

Draw No Bet - Home22.7%

Home Win19.0%

Draw15.7%

Exactly 1 Goal4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals85.0%

Over 3.5 Goals69.7%

4+ Goals69.7%

Under 5.5 Goals66.0%

Over 4.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals48.5%

2-4 Goals43.2%

Over 5.5 Goals34.0%

3-4 Goals33.6%

Under 3.5 Goals30.3%

1-3 Goals29.0%

2-3 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals15.3%

Under 2.5 Goals15.0%

1-2 Goals13.7%

Exactly 2 Goals9.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score81.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.4%

Away Clean Sheet18.2%

Away Win to Nil17.3%

Home Clean Sheet4.6%

Home Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 0.581.4%

Away Over 1.580.7%

Away Over 2.558.8%

Away 3+ Goals58.8%

Home Over 1.550.5%

Home Exactly 130.9%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Home Over 2.524.2%

Home 3+ Goals24.2%

Away Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 018.2%

Away Exactly 114.2%

Away Exactly 04.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home70.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)64.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)53.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home53.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)46.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away46.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)28.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away28.7%

Away to win by 3+28.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.7%

Away to win by 118.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 217.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.3%

Home to win by 110.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.4%

Home to win by 25.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.3%

Home to win by 3+3.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.2%

Away & Over 2.558.2%

Away & BTTS47.5%

Away & No BTTS17.3%

Home & Over 2.516.4%

Home & BTTS15.2%

Draw & BTTS14.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.9%

Draw & Over 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Home & No BTTS3.8%

Home & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.3%

HT Over 1.563.3%

HT Away Win51.5%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT/FT Away/Away44.8%

HT Both Teams Score40.1%

HT Under 1.536.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.7%

HT Home Win20.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.3%

HT Under 0.511.7%

HT/FT Home/Home11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners71.5%

Over 8.5 Corners68.6%

Under 11.5 Corners67.8%

Away Most Corners66.2%

Over 9.5 Corners56.3%

Under 10.5 Corners56.2%

Over 10.5 Corners43.8%

Under 9.5 Corners43.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Over 11.5 Corners32.2%

Under 8.5 Corners31.4%

Home Most Corners23.0%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards83.6%

Under 5.5 Cards68.9%

Over 3.5 Cards67.2%

Under 4.5 Cards51.6%

Over 4.5 Cards48.4%

Under 3.5 Cards32.8%

Over 5.5 Cards31.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.3%

Under 2.5 Cards16.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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