Portugal · Primeira Liga

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente

Full time · 1:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Santa Clara 41.7% Draw 30.7% GIL Vicente 27.5%

Over 2.5 - 27% BTTS - 40%

✓ Pick was correct (1:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 16.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Santa Clara: 13 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Santa Clara 4 wins, 0 draws, GIL Vicente 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

16.5%

Exact-score model probability

Santa Clara

W L W D W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.5

GIL Vicente

D L W W D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Santa Clara 4wins ·0 draws ·GIL Vicente 1wins

Santa Clara 1-0 GIL VicenteMar 21, 2026

Santa Clara 0-1 GIL VicenteNov 3, 2025

Santa Clara 1-0 GIL VicenteMar 15, 2025

Santa Clara 2-1 GIL VicenteOct 25, 2024

Santa Clara 3-2 GIL VicenteMay 6, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Santa Clara win41.7%

Draw30.7%

GIL Vicente win27.5%

Over 1.5 goals53.0%

Over 2.5 goals27.0%

Over 3.5 goals10.9%

Both teams to score40.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.2%

Over 0.5 Goals

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.1%

Draw No Bet - Home74.1%

Home or Away (12)73.0%

Home Win54.1%

Draw or Away (X2)45.9%

Both Halves Over 0.543.4%

Goal in Both Halves43.4%

Draw27.0%

Draw No Bet - Away25.9%

Exactly 1 Goal24.8%

Away Win18.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.7%

Under 4.5 Goals93.1%

Over 0.5 Goals88.6%

Under 3.5 Goals82.6%

1-3 Goals71.1%

Over 1.5 Goals63.8%

Under 2.5 Goals63.1%

2-4 Goals56.8%

1-2 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

2-3 Goals46.3%

Over 2.5 Goals36.9%

Under 1.5 Goals36.2%

3-4 Goals30.0%

Exactly 2 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Over 3.5 Goals17.4%

4+ Goals17.4%

Under 0.5 Goals11.4%

Exactly 0 Goals11.4%

Over 4.5 Goals6.9%

Over 5.5 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score76.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)60.5%

Away Team to Score51.7%

Home Clean Sheet48.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)39.5%

Home Win to Nil36.8%

Away Clean Sheet23.7%

Away Win to Nil12.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.576.3%

Away Over 0.551.7%

Away Exactly 048.3%

Home Over 1.542.2%

Away Exactly 135.2%

Home Exactly 134.1%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 023.7%

Home Over 2.517.6%

Home 3+ Goals17.6%

Away Over 1.516.6%

Away Exactly 212.8%

Away Over 2.53.8%

Away 3+ Goals3.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.8%

Home to win by 126.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 216.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.5%

Away to win by 113.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.8%

Home to win by 3+10.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 24.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.551.1%

Home & No BTTS36.8%

Home & Under 2.528.3%

BTTS & Over 2.527.5%

Home & Over 2.525.8%

Draw & Under 2.523.4%

Home & BTTS17.3%

Draw & BTTS15.5%

Away & No BTTS12.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

Away & Under 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Away & Over 2.57.5%

Away & BTTS6.7%

Draw & Over 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.574.5%

HT Over 0.562.3%

HT Draw46.1%

2nd Half More Goals40.9%

HT Home Win37.7%

HT Under 0.537.7%

HT/FT Home/Home32.8%

1st Half More Goals29.9%

Equal Goals Each Half29.2%

HT Over 1.525.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.8%

HT Away Win16.1%

HT Both Teams Score13.3%

HT/FT Away/Away10.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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