Portugal · Primeira Liga

Santa Clara vs SC Braga

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Santa Clara 30.5% Draw 27.2% SC Braga 42.3%

Over 2.5 - 41% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Santa Clara: 14 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.2%

Exact-score model probability

Santa Clara

W W D W W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 11:4 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 0.67

SC Braga

W L W W W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 7:3 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 5

Santa Clara 1wins ·1 draws ·SC Braga 3wins

Santa Clara 2-1 SC BragaApr 26, 2026

Santa Clara 0-1 SC BragaDec 15, 2025

Santa Clara 1-1 SC BragaMay 3, 2025

Santa Clara 0-2 SC BragaDec 22, 2024

Santa Clara 3-5 SC BragaMay 14, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Santa Clara win30.5%

Draw27.2%

SC Braga win42.3%

Over 1.5 goals67.3%

Over 2.5 goals41.2%

Over 3.5 goals20.7%

Both teams to score52.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.8%

Home or Draw (1X)66.1%

Both Halves Over 0.559.8%

Goal in Both Halves59.8%

Draw or Away (X2)58.1%

Draw No Bet - Home55.3%

Draw No Bet - Away44.7%

Home Win41.9%

Away Win33.9%

Draw24.2%

Exactly 1 Goal14.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.6%

Under 4.5 Goals81.5%

Over 1.5 Goals80.1%

Under 3.5 Goals64.7%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.7%

Over 2.5 Goals57.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.8%

Under 2.5 Goals42.3%

3-4 Goals39.2%

1-2 Goals37.3%

Over 3.5 Goals35.3%

4+ Goals35.3%

Exactly 2 Goals22.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals19.9%

Over 4.5 Goals18.5%

Over 5.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.6%

Away Team to Score75.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.8%

Home Clean Sheet24.4%

Away Clean Sheet20.4%

Home Win to Nil19.5%

Away Win to Nil15.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.6%

Away Over 0.575.6%

Home Over 1.547.2%

Away Over 1.541.1%

Away Exactly 134.4%

Home Exactly 132.4%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Away Exactly 024.4%

Away Exactly 224.3%

Home Over 2.521.4%

Home 3+ Goals21.4%

Home Exactly 020.4%

Away Over 2.516.9%

Away 3+ Goals16.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.8%

Home to win by 120.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 212.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.8%

Away to win by 29.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.5%

Home to win by 3+8.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.6%

Away to win by 3+5.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.531.2%

Home & Over 2.527.7%

Home & BTTS22.4%

Away & Over 2.521.9%

Home & No BTTS19.5%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & BTTS18.5%

Draw & Under 2.516.1%

Away & No BTTS15.4%

Home & Under 2.514.2%

Away & Under 2.512.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.1%

HT Under 1.560.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Draw39.1%

HT Over 1.539.1%

HT Home Win32.9%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Away Win28.0%

HT Under 0.525.9%

HT/FT Home/Home25.3%

HT Both Teams Score24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT/FT Away/Away19.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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