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Mexico · Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Atlas
Kick-off 04:00 · Sun, Jul 26
📊 Our Prediction
Over 1.5 Goals
43% confidence
Santos Laguna 42.7%Draw 14.7%Atlas 42.6%
Over 2.5 - 99%BTTS - 98%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
AI verdict (fallback)
⚠️ Market disagrees
- bookies say 44%
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
89%
📈 Probability Breakdown
Santos Laguna win42.7%
Draw14.7%
Atlas win42.6%
Over 1.5 goals99.9%
Over 2.5 goals99.3%
Over 3.5 goals97.7%
Both teams to score97.7%
🎯 Full Market Board
Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.
Over 1.5 Goals
92.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
91.5%
HT Over 1.5
91.1%
HT Over 0.598.2%
Both Halves Over 0.597.6%
Goal in Both Halves97.6%
Over 0.5 Goals92.1%
Over 1.5 Goals92.0%
Over 2.5 Goals91.5%
HT Over 1.591.1%
Home Team to Score91.0%
Away Team to Score91.0%
Home Over 0.591.0%
Away Over 0.591.0%
Over 3.5 Goals90.0%
Both Teams Score (GG)90.0%
4+ Goals90.0%
BTTS & Over 2.589.7%
Over 4.5 Goals86.6%
Home Over 1.586.2%
Away Over 1.586.2%
Over 5.5 Goals80.5%
Home or Away (12)78.7%
Home Over 2.575.5%
Away Over 2.575.5%
Home 3+ Goals75.5%
Away 3+ Goals75.5%
HT Both Teams Score75.3%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.4%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.4%
2nd Half More Goals55.0%
Home or Draw (1X)52.8%
Draw or Away (X2)52.8%
Draw No Bet - Home50.0%
Draw No Bet - Away50.0%
Total Goals Even46.1%
Total Goals Odd46.0%
HT Home Win39.7%
HT Away Win39.7%
Home Win39.3%
Away Win39.3%
Home & Over 2.539.2%
Away & Over 2.539.2%
Home & BTTS38.3%
Away & BTTS38.3%
1st Half More Goals31.8%
HT/FT Away/Away28.6%
HT/FT Home/Home28.6%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.8%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.8%
HT Draw20.6%
Under 5.5 Goals19.5%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.3%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.3%
Home to win by 3+16.3%
Away to win by 3+16.3%
Draw13.4%
Under 4.5 Goals13.4%
Draw & BTTS13.4%
Draw & Over 2.513.2%
Equal Goals Each Half12.9%
Home to win by 112.6%
Away to win by 112.6%
Home Exactly 210.8%
Away Exactly 210.8%
Home to win by 210.4%
Away to win by 210.4%
Under 3.5 Goals10.0%
No Both Teams Score (NG)10.0%
HT Under 1.58.9%
Under 2.5 Goals8.5%
HT/FT Draw/Away8.4%
HT/FT Draw/Home8.4%
Under 1.5 Goals8.0%
Under 0.5 Goals7.9%
HT/FT Away/Home6.2%
HT/FT Home/Away6.2%
2-4 Goals5.4%
3-4 Goals4.9%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%
Home Exactly 14.8%
Away Exactly 14.8%
HT/FT Draw/Draw3.8%
1-3 Goals2.1%
2-3 Goals2.0%
HT Under 0.51.8%
No BTTS & Over 2.51.7%
Exactly 3 Goals1.5%
Home Clean Sheet1.1%
Away Clean Sheet1.1%
Home Win to Nil1.1%
Away Win to Nil1.1%
Home Exactly 01.1%
Away Exactly 01.1%
Home & No BTTS1.1%
Away & No BTTS1.1%
1-2 Goals0.6%
Exactly 2 Goals0.5%
No BTTS & Under 2.50.4%
Draw & Under 2.50.3%
Home & Under 2.50.2%
Away & Under 2.50.2%
BTTS & Under 2.50.2%
Exactly 1 Goal0.1%
Exactly 0 Goals0.0%
🔎 API-Football Model
An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.
Santos Laguna win0%
Draw50%
Atlas win50%
AdviceCombo Double chance : draw or Atlas and +2.5 goals
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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