Mexico · Liga MX

Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Santos Laguna 16.7% Draw 31.2% Club Queretaro 52.1%

Over 2.5 - 33% BTTS - 38%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 83.3% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 16.7% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club Queretaro: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

83.3%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

16.7%

Only the uncovered result loses

Santos Laguna

W W W L D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Club Queretaro

D W W L D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Santos Laguna win16.7%

Draw31.2%

Club Queretaro win52.1%

Over 1.5 goals61.8%

Over 2.5 goals33.2%

Over 3.5 goals14.9%

Both teams to score37.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.0%

Over 8.5 Corners

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)81.8%

Draw No Bet - Away74.6%

Home or Away (12)72.0%

Away Win53.7%

Home or Draw (1X)46.3%

Both Halves Over 0.540.3%

Goal in Both Halves40.3%

Draw28.0%

Exactly 1 Goal26.6%

Draw No Bet - Home25.4%

Home Win18.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.2%

Under 4.5 Goals94.4%

Over 0.5 Goals86.9%

Under 3.5 Goals85.1%

1-3 Goals72.0%

Under 2.5 Goals66.8%

Over 1.5 Goals60.3%

2-4 Goals54.7%

1-2 Goals53.7%

Total Goals Even50.9%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

2-3 Goals45.4%

Under 1.5 Goals39.7%

Over 2.5 Goals33.2%

3-4 Goals27.6%

Exactly 2 Goals27.1%

Exactly 3 Goals18.3%

Over 3.5 Goals14.9%

4+ Goals14.9%

Under 0.5 Goals13.1%

Exactly 0 Goals13.1%

Over 4.5 Goals5.6%

Over 5.5 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score74.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.8%

Away Clean Sheet51.3%

Home Team to Score48.7%

Away Win to Nil38.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.2%

Home Clean Sheet25.5%

Home Win to Nil12.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.574.5%

Home Exactly 051.3%

Home Over 0.548.7%

Away Over 1.539.6%

Away Exactly 134.9%

Home Exactly 134.2%

Away Exactly 025.5%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Away Over 2.515.8%

Away 3+ Goals15.8%

Home Over 1.514.4%

Home Exactly 211.4%

Home Over 2.53.0%

Home 3+ Goals3.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)81.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away81.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw27.4%

Away to win by 127.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.4%

Away to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 113.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.0%

Away to win by 3+10.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.9%

Home to win by 23.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.554.9%

Away & No BTTS38.2%

Away & Under 2.530.1%

Draw & Under 2.525.0%

BTTS & Over 2.524.3%

Away & Over 2.523.6%

Away & BTTS15.5%

Draw & BTTS14.9%

Home & No BTTS12.4%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Home & Under 2.511.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Home & Over 2.56.6%

Home & BTTS5.8%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.576.7%

HT Over 0.559.9%

HT Draw47.8%

HT Under 0.540.1%

2nd Half More Goals40.1%

HT Away Win36.9%

HT/FT Away/Away32.2%

Equal Goals Each Half30.3%

1st Half More Goals29.6%

HT Over 1.523.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.7%

HT Home Win15.3%

HT Both Teams Score11.9%

HT/FT Home/Home9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

Corners (12)

Home Over 4.5 Corners92.6%

Over 8.5 Corners90.0%

Home Most Corners83.6%

Over 9.5 Corners83.4%

Over 10.5 Corners74.8%

Over 11.5 Corners64.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners46.8%

Under 11.5 Corners35.3%

Under 10.5 Corners25.2%

Under 9.5 Corners16.6%

Away Most Corners10.3%

Under 8.5 Corners10.0%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards84.4%

Over 3.5 Cards68.5%

Under 5.5 Cards67.4%

Under 4.5 Cards50.1%

Over 4.5 Cards49.9%

Over 5.5 Cards32.6%

Under 3.5 Cards31.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.7%

Under 2.5 Cards15.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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