Mexico · Liga MX

Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez

Full time · 2:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Santos Laguna 39.8% Draw 43.1% FC Juarez 17.1%

Over 2.5 - 12% BTTS - 20%

✓ Pick was correct (2:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 82.9% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 17.1% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Santos Laguna: 1 points versus 0 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 0.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

82.9%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

17.1%

Only the uncovered result loses

Santos Laguna

L D L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 2:9 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.5

FC Juarez

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 3:20 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 3.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Santos Laguna win39.8%

Draw43.1%

FC Juarez win17.1%

Over 1.5 goals35.6%

Over 2.5 goals12.4%

Over 3.5 goals3.5%

Both teams to score20.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

89.5%

Under 2.5 Goals

87.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

86.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.6%

Draw No Bet - Home69.1%

Home or Away (12)59.5%

Draw or Away (X2)58.9%

Home Win41.1%

Draw40.5%

Exactly 1 Goal36.0%

Draw No Bet - Away30.9%

Both Halves Over 0.520.6%

Goal in Both Halves20.6%

Away Win18.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.8%

Under 4.5 Goals99.2%

Under 3.5 Goals96.5%

Under 2.5 Goals87.6%

Over 0.5 Goals70.4%

1-3 Goals66.8%

Under 1.5 Goals65.7%

1-2 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Even54.4%

Total Goals Odd45.6%

Over 1.5 Goals34.3%

2-4 Goals33.5%

2-3 Goals30.8%

Under 0.5 Goals29.6%

Exactly 0 Goals29.6%

Exactly 2 Goals21.9%

Over 2.5 Goals12.4%

3-4 Goals11.6%

Exactly 3 Goals8.9%

Over 3.5 Goals3.5%

4+ Goals3.5%

Over 4.5 Goals0.8%

Over 5.5 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)81.0%

Home Clean Sheet65.2%

Home Team to Score54.6%

Away Clean Sheet45.4%

Home Win to Nil35.6%

Away Team to Score34.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)19.0%

Away Win to Nil15.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Exactly 065.2%

Home Over 0.554.6%

Home Exactly 045.4%

Home Exactly 135.8%

Away Over 0.534.8%

Away Exactly 127.9%

Home Over 1.518.7%

Home Exactly 214.1%

Away Over 1.56.9%

Away Exactly 25.9%

Home Over 2.54.6%

Home 3+ Goals4.6%

Away Over 2.50.9%

Away 3+ Goals0.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.6%

Home to win by 127.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 114.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.3%

Home to win by 210.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.2%

Home to win by 3+3.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.577.6%

Draw & Under 2.539.6%

Home & No BTTS35.6%

Home & Under 2.532.6%

Away & No BTTS15.8%

Away & Under 2.515.4%

Draw & BTTS10.9%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Home & Over 2.58.5%

Home & BTTS5.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.4%

Away & Over 2.53.0%

Away & BTTS2.6%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.589.5%

HT Draw61.9%

HT Under 0.557.9%

HT Over 0.542.1%

Equal Goals Each Half41.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw35.0%

2nd Half More Goals33.1%

HT Home Win25.5%

1st Half More Goals25.4%

HT/FT Home/Home22.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.1%

HT Away Win12.7%

HT Over 1.510.5%

HT/FT Away/Away9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.8%

HT Both Teams Score5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions