Mexico · Liga MX

Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Santos Laguna 14.4% Draw 16.8% Guadalajara Chivas 68.8%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 71%

✓ Pick was correct (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Away Team to Score

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Guadalajara Chivas: 0 points versus 8 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Santos Laguna

L L L

Form 0-0-3 Goals 2:7 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Guadalajara Chivas

D W L L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Santos Laguna win14.4%

Draw16.8%

Guadalajara Chivas win68.8%

Over 1.5 goals93.4%

Over 2.5 goals80.1%

Over 3.5 goals62.0%

Both teams to score71.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

92.0%

HT Over 0.5

85.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)84.7%

Home or Away (12)84.3%

Draw No Bet - Away82.2%

Both Halves Over 0.577.4%

Goal in Both Halves77.4%

Away Win69.3%

Home or Draw (1X)30.4%

Draw No Bet - Home17.8%

Draw15.4%

Home Win15.0%

Exactly 1 Goal5.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals92.4%

Over 2.5 Goals79.8%

Under 5.5 Goals74.1%

Over 3.5 Goals61.8%

4+ Goals61.8%

Under 4.5 Goals57.5%

2-4 Goals50.0%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals42.5%

Under 3.5 Goals38.2%

3-4 Goals37.4%

1-3 Goals36.5%

2-3 Goals30.6%

Over 5.5 Goals25.9%

Under 2.5 Goals20.2%

1-2 Goals18.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.0%

Exactly 2 Goals12.6%

Under 1.5 Goals7.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.3%

Home Team to Score74.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.9%

Away Clean Sheet25.6%

Away Win to Nil24.3%

Home Clean Sheet5.3%

Home Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.3%

Away Over 1.578.7%

Home Over 0.574.0%

Away Over 2.555.8%

Away 3+ Goals55.8%

Home Over 1.539.2%

Home Exactly 134.8%

Home Exactly 025.6%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Away Exactly 222.9%

Home Over 2.515.6%

Home 3+ Goals15.6%

Away Exactly 115.6%

Away Exactly 05.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home83.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)69.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home68.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)49.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home49.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)31.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away31.0%

Away to win by 3+31.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home30.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.5%

Away to win by 119.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.8%

Away to win by 218.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away16.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.0%

Home to win by 19.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.0%

Home to win by 24.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.0%

Home to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.6%

Away & Over 2.559.4%

Away & BTTS45.0%

Away & No BTTS24.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.4%

Draw & BTTS14.0%

Home & Over 2.511.9%

Home & BTTS11.1%

Away & Under 2.59.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.5%

Draw & Under 2.56.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Home & No BTTS4.0%

Home & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.5%

HT Over 1.557.5%

HT Away Win54.0%

HT/FT Away/Away48.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Under 1.542.5%

HT Both Teams Score33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT Home Win17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.7%

HT Under 0.514.5%

HT/FT Home/Home8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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