Mexico · Liga MX

Santos Laguna vs Necaxa

Kick-off 00:00 · Mon, Nov 2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Santos Laguna 50.9% Draw 30.6% Necaxa 18.5%

Over 2.5 - 37% BTTS - 41%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 16.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Santos Laguna: 10 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

16.3%

Exact-score model probability

Santos Laguna

W W W L D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Necaxa

D L L D L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Santos Laguna win50.9%

Draw30.6%

Necaxa win18.5%

Over 1.5 goals65.0%

Over 2.5 goals36.5%

Over 3.5 goals17.1%

Both teams to score41.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.0%

Over 0.5 Goals

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.0%

Home or Away (12)72.5%

Draw No Bet - Home72.4%

Home Win52.5%

Draw or Away (X2)47.5%

Both Halves Over 0.543.1%

Goal in Both Halves43.1%

Draw No Bet - Away27.6%

Draw27.5%

Exactly 1 Goal25.0%

Away Win20.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.7%

Under 4.5 Goals93.3%

Over 0.5 Goals88.4%

Under 3.5 Goals82.9%

1-3 Goals71.2%

Under 2.5 Goals63.5%

Over 1.5 Goals63.4%

2-4 Goals56.6%

1-2 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

2-3 Goals46.2%

Under 1.5 Goals36.6%

Over 2.5 Goals36.5%

3-4 Goals29.7%

Exactly 2 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.3%

Over 3.5 Goals17.1%

4+ Goals17.1%

Under 0.5 Goals11.6%

Exactly 0 Goals11.6%

Over 4.5 Goals6.7%

Over 5.5 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score75.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)60.2%

Away Team to Score52.8%

Home Clean Sheet47.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)39.8%

Home Win to Nil35.6%

Away Clean Sheet24.6%

Away Win to Nil13.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.575.4%

Away Over 0.552.8%

Away Exactly 047.2%

Home Over 1.540.9%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Home Exactly 134.5%

Home Exactly 024.6%

Home Exactly 224.2%

Away Over 1.517.3%

Home Over 2.516.7%

Home 3+ Goals16.7%

Away Exactly 213.3%

Away Over 2.54.1%

Away 3+ Goals4.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.5%

Home to win by 126.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.2%

Away to win by 114.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.0%

Home to win by 3+10.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 24.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.551.3%

Home & No BTTS35.6%

Home & Under 2.527.7%

BTTS & Over 2.527.6%

Home & Over 2.524.8%

Draw & Under 2.523.8%

Home & BTTS16.9%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

Away & No BTTS13.0%

BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

Away & Under 2.512.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Away & Over 2.58.0%

Away & BTTS7.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.574.7%

HT Over 0.562.0%

HT Draw46.5%

2nd Half More Goals40.8%

HT Under 0.538.0%

HT Home Win36.7%

HT/FT Home/Home31.6%

1st Half More Goals29.9%

Equal Goals Each Half29.3%

HT Over 1.525.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.0%

HT Away Win16.8%

HT Both Teams Score13.4%

HT/FT Away/Away10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners74.3%

Home Most Corners69.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners69.2%

Under 10.5 Corners63.5%

Over 8.5 Corners61.8%

Under 9.5 Corners51.1%

Over 9.5 Corners48.9%

Under 8.5 Corners38.2%

Over 10.5 Corners36.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners32.2%

Over 11.5 Corners25.7%

Away Most Corners20.0%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards84.1%

Over 2.5 Cards70.2%

Under 4.5 Cards70.2%

Under 3.5 Cards51.0%

Over 3.5 Cards49.0%

Under 2.5 Cards29.8%

Over 4.5 Cards29.8%

Over 5.5 Cards15.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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