Mexico · Liga MX

Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL

Kick-off 04:10 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Santos Laguna 29.1% Draw 19.4% Tigres UANL 51.5%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Tigres UANL: 0 points versus 4 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Santos Laguna

L L L L L

Form 0-0-5 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 2.2

Tigres UANL

W L L D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Santos Laguna win29.1%

Draw19.4%

Tigres UANL win51.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.7%

Over 2.5 goals85.4%

Over 3.5 goals70.0%

Both teams to score82.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.7%

HT Over 0.5

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.581.9%

Goal in Both Halves81.9%

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Draw or Away (X2)70.1%

Draw No Bet - Away63.7%

Away Win52.0%

Home or Draw (1X)47.8%

Draw No Bet - Home36.3%

Home Win29.7%

Draw18.1%

Exactly 1 Goal4.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals85.2%

Over 3.5 Goals69.8%

4+ Goals69.8%

Under 5.5 Goals65.9%

Over 4.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals48.5%

2-4 Goals43.3%

Over 5.5 Goals34.1%

3-4 Goals33.7%

Under 3.5 Goals30.2%

1-3 Goals29.1%

2-3 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals15.4%

Under 2.5 Goals14.8%

1-2 Goals13.7%

Exactly 2 Goals9.7%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.1%

Home Team to Score87.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.8%

Away Clean Sheet12.7%

Away Win to Nil11.8%

Home Clean Sheet6.7%

Home Win to Nil5.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 0.587.1%

Away Over 1.575.0%

Home Over 1.560.9%

Away Over 2.550.5%

Away 3+ Goals50.5%

Home Over 2.533.9%

Home 3+ Goals33.9%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.2%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 118.1%

Home Exactly 012.7%

Away Exactly 06.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home81.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.8%

Away to win by 3+18.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 214.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.0%

Home to win by 114.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.6%

Home to win by 28.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.0%

Home to win by 3+7.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.5%

Away & Over 2.546.6%

Away & BTTS40.2%

Home & Over 2.526.1%

Home & BTTS23.8%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.5%

Away & No BTTS11.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Home & No BTTS5.8%

Draw & Under 2.55.6%

Away & Under 2.55.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.3%

HT Over 1.563.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Away Win42.7%

HT Both Teams Score42.6%

HT Under 1.536.8%

HT/FT Away/Away34.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.2%

HT Home Win28.1%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Home/Home18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.2%

HT Under 0.511.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions