Mexico · Liga MX

Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Kick-off 04:10 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Santos Laguna 31.9% Draw 27.0% U.N.A.M. - Pumas 41.1%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Santos Laguna: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.1%

Exact-score model probability

Santos Laguna

W W W L D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

W D L W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Santos Laguna win31.9%

Draw27.0%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win41.1%

Over 1.5 goals81.6%

Over 2.5 goals57.8%

Over 3.5 goals35.4%

Both teams to score61.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.9%

Draw or Away (X2)66.7%

Both Halves Over 0.560.0%

Goal in Both Halves60.0%

Home or Draw (1X)57.5%

Draw No Bet - Away56.1%

Draw No Bet - Home43.9%

Away Win42.5%

Home Win33.3%

Draw24.1%

Exactly 1 Goal14.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.6%

Under 4.5 Goals81.4%

Over 1.5 Goals80.2%

Under 3.5 Goals64.6%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.6%

Over 2.5 Goals57.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.8%

Under 2.5 Goals42.2%

3-4 Goals39.2%

1-2 Goals37.2%

Over 3.5 Goals35.4%

4+ Goals35.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals19.8%

Over 4.5 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score80.0%

Home Team to Score75.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.8%

Away Clean Sheet24.7%

Home Clean Sheet20.0%

Away Win to Nil19.8%

Home Win to Nil15.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.580.0%

Home Over 0.575.3%

Away Over 1.547.8%

Home Over 1.540.7%

Home Exactly 134.5%

Away Exactly 132.2%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Home Exactly 024.7%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Over 2.521.9%

Away 3+ Goals21.9%

Away Exactly 020.0%

Home Over 2.516.6%

Home 3+ Goals16.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)33.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.0%

Away to win by 121.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 118.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 212.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.6%

Home to win by 29.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.8%

Away to win by 3+8.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.5%

Home to win by 3+5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.531.1%

Away & Over 2.528.2%

Away & BTTS22.8%

Home & Over 2.521.6%

Away & No BTTS19.8%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Home & BTTS18.2%

Draw & Under 2.516.1%

Home & No BTTS15.1%

Away & Under 2.514.4%

Home & Under 2.511.8%

BTTS & Under 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.1%

HT Under 1.560.8%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Over 1.539.2%

HT Draw39.0%

HT Away Win33.4%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Home Win27.6%

HT Under 0.525.9%

HT/FT Away/Away25.7%

HT Both Teams Score24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT/FT Home/Home19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions