Brazil · Serie A

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians

Full time · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

80% confidence

Sao Paulo 80.1% Draw 12.2% Corinthians 7.7%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 65%

✓ Pick was correct (0:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sao Paulo: 8 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Sao Paulo

D D W W L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Corinthians

W L D L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:13 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

Sao Paulo 0wins ·0 draws ·Corinthians 1wins

Sao Paulo 2-3 CorinthiansMay 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sao Paulo win80.1%

Draw12.2%

Corinthians win7.7%

Over 1.5 goals94.5%

Over 2.5 goals82.9%

Over 3.5 goals66.1%

Both teams to score65.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.0%

Draw No Bet - Home90.8%

Home or Away (12)88.1%

Home Win80.0%

Both Halves Over 0.579.8%

Goal in Both Halves79.8%

Draw or Away (X2)19.2%

Draw11.0%

Draw No Bet - Away9.2%

Away Win8.1%

Exactly 1 Goal4.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals93.2%

Over 2.5 Goals82.2%

Under 5.5 Goals70.6%

Over 3.5 Goals65.5%

4+ Goals65.5%

Under 4.5 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Over 4.5 Goals46.6%

2-4 Goals46.6%

3-4 Goals35.6%

Under 3.5 Goals34.5%

1-3 Goals32.6%

Over 5.5 Goals29.4%

2-3 Goals27.7%

Under 2.5 Goals17.8%

Exactly 3 Goals16.7%

1-2 Goals15.9%

Exactly 2 Goals11.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score66.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.9%

Home Clean Sheet32.9%

Home Win to Nil31.8%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.584.8%

Away Over 0.566.3%

Home Over 2.565.8%

Home 3+ Goals65.8%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Exactly 032.9%

Away Over 1.530.0%

Away Exactly 220.0%

Home Exactly 219.0%

Home Exactly 111.1%

Away Over 2.510.0%

Away 3+ Goals10.0%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away72.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home63.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.1%

Home to win by 3+44.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home26.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 15.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 22.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.570.0%

BTTS & Over 2.560.0%

Home & BTTS48.2%

Home & No BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

Home & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & BTTS10.0%

Away & Over 2.56.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Away & BTTS5.9%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & No BTTS2.2%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.0%

HT Home Win63.3%

HT Over 1.560.5%

HT/FT Home/Home59.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT Under 1.539.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score30.8%

HT Draw25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.0%

HT Under 0.513.0%

HT Away Win11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners90.3%

Under 10.5 Corners83.6%

Under 9.5 Corners74.2%

Under 8.5 Corners62.2%

Home Most Corners59.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners46.8%

Over 8.5 Corners37.8%

Away Most Corners26.8%

Over 9.5 Corners25.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners23.6%

Over 10.5 Corners16.4%

Over 11.5 Corners9.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.1%

Over 2.5 Cards73.6%

Under 4.5 Cards66.1%

Over 3.5 Cards53.3%

Under 3.5 Cards46.7%

Over 4.5 Cards33.9%

Under 2.5 Cards26.4%

Over 5.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions