Brazil · Serie A

Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Sao Paulo 25.7% Draw 26.6% RB Bragantino 47.7%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to RB Bragantino: 2 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.1%

Exact-score model probability

Sao Paulo

L D L D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

RB Bragantino

W D L D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sao Paulo win25.7%

Draw26.6%

RB Bragantino win47.7%

Over 1.5 goals80.6%

Over 2.5 goals56.3%

Over 3.5 goals33.9%

Both teams to score59.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.2%

Draw or Away (X2)72.9%

Draw No Bet - Away64.4%

Both Halves Over 0.558.8%

Goal in Both Halves58.8%

Home or Draw (1X)50.9%

Away Win49.1%

Draw No Bet - Home35.6%

Home Win27.1%

Draw23.8%

Exactly 1 Goal15.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.7%

Under 5.5 Goals92.2%

Under 4.5 Goals82.5%

Over 1.5 Goals79.2%

Under 3.5 Goals66.1%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.8%

Over 2.5 Goals56.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals45.2%

Under 2.5 Goals43.7%

3-4 Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals38.4%

Over 3.5 Goals33.9%

4+ Goals33.9%

Exactly 2 Goals22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.8%

Over 4.5 Goals17.5%

Over 5.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals5.3%

Exactly 0 Goals5.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.1%

Home Team to Score70.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.1%

Away Clean Sheet29.5%

Away Win to Nil24.2%

Home Clean Sheet17.9%

Home Win to Nil12.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.1%

Home Over 0.570.5%

Away Over 1.551.3%

Home Exactly 136.0%

Home Over 1.534.5%

Away Exactly 130.8%

Home Exactly 029.5%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 2.524.8%

Away 3+ Goals24.8%

Home Exactly 222.0%

Away Exactly 017.9%

Home Over 2.512.5%

Home 3+ Goals12.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)49.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.6%

Away to win by 122.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 116.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 214.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.5%

Away to win by 3+11.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.5%

Home to win by 27.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.6%

Home to win by 3+3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.546.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.6%

Away & Over 2.532.2%

Away & BTTS24.9%

Away & No BTTS24.2%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Away & Under 2.516.9%

Home & Over 2.516.8%

Draw & Under 2.516.4%

Home & BTTS14.5%

Home & No BTTS12.6%

BTTS & Under 2.511.1%

Home & Under 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.6%

Draw & Over 2.57.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.4%

HT Under 1.561.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.4%

HT Draw39.2%

HT Over 1.538.1%

HT Away Win37.3%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT/FT Away/Away30.3%

HT Under 0.526.6%

Equal Goals Each Half24.3%

HT Home Win23.5%

HT Both Teams Score22.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT/FT Home/Home15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions