Italy · Serie A

Sassuolo vs Juventus

Kick-off 19:45 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Sassuolo 22.1% Draw 25.4% Juventus 52.5%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 12.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Juventus: 4 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Sassuolo 2 wins, 1 draws, Juventus 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.6%

Exact-score model probability

Sassuolo

D W L L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Juventus

D W W D L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 5

Sassuolo 2wins ·1 draws ·Juventus 2wins

Sassuolo 1-1 JuventusMar 21, 2026

Sassuolo 0-3 JuventusJan 6, 2026

Sassuolo 0-3 JuventusJan 16, 2024

Sassuolo 4-2 JuventusSep 23, 2023

Sassuolo 1-0 JuventusApr 16, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sassuolo win22.1%

Draw25.4%

Juventus win52.5%

Over 1.5 goals71.3%

Over 2.5 goals39.8%

Over 3.5 goals24.3%

Both teams to score46.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

92.0%

Under 4.5 Goals

88.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)77.6%

Home or Away (12)74.8%

Draw No Bet - Away70.1%

Away Win52.5%

Both Halves Over 0.551.1%

Goal in Both Halves51.1%

Home or Draw (1X)47.5%

Draw No Bet - Home29.9%

Draw25.2%

Home Win22.4%

Exactly 1 Goal20.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.6%

Over 0.5 Goals92.0%

Under 4.5 Goals88.7%

Under 3.5 Goals75.1%

Over 1.5 Goals71.9%

1-3 Goals67.1%

2-4 Goals60.6%

Under 2.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.1%

Under 1.5 Goals28.1%

Exactly 2 Goals25.5%

Over 3.5 Goals24.9%

4+ Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals8.0%

Exactly 0 Goals8.0%

Over 5.5 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score79.6%

Home Team to Score61.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.5%

Away Clean Sheet39.0%

Away Win to Nil31.0%

Home Clean Sheet20.4%

Home Win to Nil12.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.579.6%

Home Over 0.561.0%

Away Over 1.547.1%

Home Exactly 039.0%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 132.4%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Over 1.524.3%

Away Over 2.521.4%

Away 3+ Goals21.4%

Away Exactly 020.4%

Home Exactly 217.3%

Home Over 2.57.0%

Home 3+ Goals7.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.8%

Away to win by 124.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 216.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.6%

Away to win by 3+11.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.7%

Home to win by 25.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.0%

Home to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.541.7%

BTTS & Over 2.536.6%

Away & No BTTS31.0%

Away & Over 2.529.8%

Away & Under 2.522.7%

Away & BTTS21.4%

Draw & Under 2.519.9%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Home & No BTTS12.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Home & Over 2.511.3%

Home & Under 2.511.0%

Home & BTTS9.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.5%

HT Over 0.568.0%

2nd Half More Goals42.7%

HT Draw42.5%

HT Away Win38.1%

HT/FT Away/Away32.2%

HT Under 0.532.0%

HT Over 1.531.5%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.6%

HT Home Win19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.8%

HT Both Teams Score17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.9%

HT/FT Home/Home12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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