Italy · Serie A

Sassuolo vs Torino

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Sassuolo 44.3% Draw 26.0% Torino 29.7%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Torino: 4 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Sassuolo 0 wins, 2 draws, Torino 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Sassuolo

L L L L W D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Torino

L D L W L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Sassuolo 0wins ·2 draws ·Torino 3wins

Sassuolo 1-2 TorinoMay 8, 2026

Sassuolo 0-1 TorinoDec 21, 2025

Sassuolo 1-1 TorinoFeb 10, 2024

Sassuolo 1-2 TorinoNov 6, 2023

Sassuolo 1-1 TorinoApr 3, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sassuolo win44.3%

Draw26.0%

Torino win29.7%

Over 1.5 goals74.8%

Over 2.5 goals76.7%

Over 3.5 goals27.9%

Both teams to score68.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.1%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.0%

Home or Draw (1X)77.8%

Draw No Bet - Home71.9%

Both Halves Over 0.565.1%

Goal in Both Halves65.1%

Home Win56.8%

Draw or Away (X2)43.1%

Draw No Bet - Away28.1%

Away Win22.2%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal12.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals88.0%

Over 1.5 Goals84.4%

Under 4.5 Goals75.9%

Over 2.5 Goals64.5%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 3.5 Goals57.5%

1-3 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.5%

4+ Goals42.5%

2-3 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.5%

1-2 Goals31.9%

Over 4.5 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.9%

Under 1.5 Goals15.6%

Over 5.5 Goals12.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.5%

Away Team to Score71.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.8%

Home Clean Sheet29.0%

Home Win to Nil25.4%

Away Clean Sheet12.4%

Away Win to Nil8.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.5%

Away Over 0.571.0%

Home Over 1.561.6%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.535.1%

Home Over 2.534.6%

Home 3+ Goals34.6%

Away Exactly 029.0%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.9%

Away Exactly 222.2%

Away Over 2.512.9%

Away 3+ Goals12.9%

Home Exactly 012.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.4%

Home to win by 122.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.3%

Home to win by 3+17.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 217.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.3%

Away to win by 113.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.0%

Away to win by 26.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.552.9%

Home & Over 2.541.5%

Home & BTTS31.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.2%

Home & No BTTS25.4%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Home & Under 2.515.3%

Away & Over 2.515.0%

Away & BTTS13.4%

Draw & Under 2.512.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away & No BTTS8.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.0%

Away & Under 2.57.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.6%

HT Under 1.555.9%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.544.1%

HT Home Win43.2%

HT/FT Home/Home36.6%

HT Draw35.7%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score26.0%

Equal Goals Each Half22.6%

HT Under 0.522.4%

HT Away Win21.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT/FT Away/Away12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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