Portugal · Primeira Liga

SC Braga vs Estoril

Kick-off 20:45 · Mon, Sep 14

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

SC Braga 67.4% Draw 17.7% Estoril 14.8%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 15.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to SC Braga: 11 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: SC Braga 2 wins, 2 draws, Estoril 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.9%

Exact-score model probability

SC Braga

L W W W D D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Estoril

D L L L D L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 3:10 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

SC Braga 2wins ·2 draws ·Estoril 1wins

SC Braga 1-1 EstorilMay 3, 2026

SC Braga 0-1 EstorilDec 19, 2025

SC Braga 2-0 EstorilApr 19, 2025

SC Braga 2-2 EstorilDec 6, 2024

SC Braga 1-0 EstorilApr 13, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Braga win67.4%

Draw17.7%

Estoril win14.8%

Over 1.5 goals84.4%

Over 2.5 goals64.9%

Over 3.5 goals42.9%

Both teams to score25.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.3%

Home Over 0.5

91.3%

Home or Away (12)

86.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)94.4%

Draw No Bet - Home93.6%

Home or Away (12)86.1%

Home Win80.6%

Both Halves Over 0.558.8%

Goal in Both Halves58.8%

Draw or Away (X2)19.3%

Exactly 1 Goal15.6%

Draw13.8%

Draw No Bet - Away6.4%

Away Win5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.6%

Under 5.5 Goals92.3%

Under 4.5 Goals82.7%

Over 1.5 Goals79.0%

Under 3.5 Goals66.2%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.8%

Over 2.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.3%

Under 2.5 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals38.4%

Over 3.5 Goals33.8%

4+ Goals33.8%

Exactly 2 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals21.0%

Over 4.5 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals7.7%

Under 0.5 Goals5.4%

Exactly 0 Goals5.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)64.8%

Home Clean Sheet61.4%

Home Win to Nil56.1%

Away Team to Score38.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)35.2%

Away Clean Sheet8.6%

Away Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.3%

Home Over 1.570.1%

Away Exactly 061.4%

Home Over 2.544.2%

Home 3+ Goals44.2%

Away Over 0.538.5%

Away Exactly 129.9%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Home Exactly 121.1%

Away Over 1.58.6%

Home Exactly 08.6%

Away Exactly 27.3%

Away Over 2.51.3%

Away 3+ Goals1.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away65.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)58.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home58.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)41.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away41.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.9%

Home to win by 3+34.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.3%

Home to win by 223.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.4%

Home to win by 122.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.5%

Away to win by 14.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS56.1%

Home & Over 2.551.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.4%

Home & Under 2.528.9%

BTTS & Over 2.528.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.3%

Home & BTTS24.5%

Draw & Under 2.511.6%

Draw & BTTS8.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS3.3%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Away & Over 2.52.3%

Draw & Over 2.52.2%

Away & BTTS2.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.3%

HT Under 1.561.9%

HT Home Win59.2%

HT/FT Home/Home56.6%

2nd Half More Goals44.3%

HT Over 1.538.1%

HT Draw33.5%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.526.7%

Equal Goals Each Half24.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.8%

HT Both Teams Score13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT Away Win7.3%

HT/FT Away/Away2.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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