Portugal · Primeira Liga

SC Braga vs Famalicao

Full time · 3:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

SC Braga 48.1% Draw 25.3% Famalicao 26.6%

Over 2.5 - 43% BTTS - 58%

✓ Pick was correct (3:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Famalicao: 4 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

SC Braga

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Famalicao

W L W D D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

SC Braga 2wins ·3 draws ·Famalicao 0wins

SC Braga 2-2 FamalicaoApr 19, 2026

SC Braga 2-1 FamalicaoDec 6, 2025

SC Braga 1-1 FamalicaoApr 25, 2025

SC Braga 3-3 FamalicaoDec 16, 2024

SC Braga 2-1 FamalicaoJan 18, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Braga win48.1%

Draw25.3%

Famalicao win26.6%

Over 1.5 goals68.4%

Over 2.5 goals43.1%

Over 3.5 goals22.1%

Both teams to score58.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

89.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.9%

Draw or Away (X2)70.6%

Both Halves Over 0.562.5%

Goal in Both Halves62.5%

Draw No Bet - Away61.8%

Home or Draw (1X)52.5%

Away Win47.5%

Draw No Bet - Home38.2%

Home Win29.4%

Draw23.0%

Exactly 1 Goal13.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Under 5.5 Goals89.9%

Over 1.5 Goals82.3%

Under 4.5 Goals78.8%

Over 2.5 Goals61.2%

Under 3.5 Goals61.2%

2-4 Goals61.1%

1-3 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals38.8%

Over 3.5 Goals38.8%

4+ Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals34.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals21.2%

Under 1.5 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score83.3%

Home Team to Score74.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.9%

Away Clean Sheet25.5%

Away Win to Nil21.2%

Home Clean Sheet16.7%

Home Win to Nil12.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.583.3%

Home Over 0.574.5%

Away Over 1.553.5%

Home Over 1.539.7%

Home Exactly 134.8%

Away Exactly 129.9%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Over 2.526.7%

Away 3+ Goals26.7%

Home Exactly 025.5%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 016.7%

Home Over 2.515.9%

Home 3+ Goals15.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)52.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home52.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)47.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.6%

Away to win by 121.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 116.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.4%

Away to win by 214.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.5%

Away to win by 3+11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.4%

Home to win by 28.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.5%

Home to win by 3+4.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.7%

Away & Over 2.533.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.4%

Away & BTTS26.3%

Away & No BTTS21.2%

Home & Over 2.519.7%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & BTTS17.0%

Draw & Under 2.514.6%

Away & Under 2.514.4%

Home & No BTTS12.4%

BTTS & Under 2.510.4%

Home & Under 2.59.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.9%

HT Under 1.558.4%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Over 1.541.6%

HT Draw37.7%

HT Away Win36.9%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT/FT Away/Away29.4%

HT Home Win25.5%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

HT Under 0.524.1%

Equal Goals Each Half23.3%

HT/FT Home/Home17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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