UEFA Europa Conference League

SC Braga vs Gent

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

SC Braga 56.8% Draw 27.3% Gent 15.9%

Over 2.5 - 44% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gent: 7 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.7%

Exact-score model probability

SC Braga

L L D W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Gent

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Braga win56.8%

Draw27.3%

Gent win15.9%

Over 1.5 goals71.0%

Over 2.5 goals43.5%

Over 3.5 goals22.5%

Both teams to score44.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.1%

Under 4.5 Goals

90.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

86.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)82.7%

Draw No Bet - Home77.1%

Home or Away (12)75.6%

Home Win58.3%

Both Halves Over 0.548.8%

Goal in Both Halves48.8%

Draw or Away (X2)41.7%

Draw24.4%

Draw No Bet - Away22.9%

Exactly 1 Goal21.6%

Away Win17.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.3%

Over 0.5 Goals91.1%

Under 4.5 Goals90.2%

Under 3.5 Goals77.5%

Over 1.5 Goals69.5%

1-3 Goals68.6%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 2.5 Goals56.5%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.6%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals33.7%

Under 1.5 Goals30.5%

Exactly 2 Goals26.1%

Over 3.5 Goals22.5%

4+ Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Over 4.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals8.9%

Exactly 0 Goals8.9%

Over 5.5 Goals3.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.6%

Away Team to Score53.7%

Home Clean Sheet46.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.4%

Home Win to Nil37.4%

Away Clean Sheet19.3%

Away Win to Nil10.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.7%

Away Over 0.553.7%

Home Over 1.549.0%

Away Exactly 046.3%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Home Exactly 131.7%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Home Over 2.522.9%

Home 3+ Goals22.9%

Home Exactly 019.3%

Away Over 1.518.0%

Away Exactly 213.7%

Away Over 2.54.3%

Away 3+ Goals4.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)58.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)41.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away41.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.2%

Home to win by 126.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 218.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.0%

Home to win by 3+14.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.2%

Away to win by 112.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.0%

Away to win by 24.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.2%

Home & No BTTS37.4%

BTTS & Over 2.532.0%

Home & Over 2.531.5%

Home & Under 2.526.8%

Home & BTTS20.9%

Draw & Under 2.520.2%

Draw & BTTS15.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.4%

BTTS & Under 2.511.3%

Away & No BTTS10.3%

Away & Under 2.59.5%

Away & Over 2.57.8%

Away & BTTS7.0%

Draw & Over 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.4%

HT Over 0.566.3%

HT Draw42.9%

2nd Half More Goals42.2%

HT Home Win41.4%

HT/FT Home/Home36.3%

HT Under 0.533.7%

1st Half More Goals30.5%

HT Over 1.529.6%

Equal Goals Each Half27.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.2%

HT Away Win15.7%

HT Both Teams Score15.3%

HT/FT Away/Away9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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