Portugal · Primeira Liga

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente

Kick-off 20:15 · Mon, Oct 19

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

SC Braga 56.7% Draw 23.9% GIL Vicente 19.4%

Over 2.5 - 45% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 17.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SC Braga: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: SC Braga 2 wins, 1 draws, GIL Vicente 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.7%

Exact-score model probability

SC Braga

L D W L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

GIL Vicente

W D L L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 5

SC Braga 2wins ·1 draws ·GIL Vicente 2wins

SC Braga 1-2 GIL VicenteFeb 14, 2026

SC Braga 0-1 GIL VicenteSep 14, 2025

SC Braga 2-0 GIL VicenteFeb 9, 2025

SC Braga 0-0 GIL VicenteSep 1, 2024

SC Braga 2-1 GIL VicenteMar 16, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Braga win56.7%

Draw23.9%

GIL Vicente win19.4%

Over 1.5 goals70.0%

Over 2.5 goals44.5%

Over 3.5 goals23.3%

Both teams to score25.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

88.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)83.7%

Draw No Bet - Home77.8%

Home or Away (12)73.5%

Home Win57.2%

Draw or Away (X2)42.8%

Both Halves Over 0.542.4%

Goal in Both Halves42.4%

Draw26.5%

Exactly 1 Goal25.4%

Draw No Bet - Away22.2%

Away Win16.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.9%

Under 4.5 Goals93.6%

Over 0.5 Goals88.0%

Under 3.5 Goals83.4%

1-3 Goals71.5%

Under 2.5 Goals64.4%

Over 1.5 Goals62.6%

2-4 Goals56.2%

1-2 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

2-3 Goals46.0%

Under 1.5 Goals37.4%

Over 2.5 Goals35.6%

3-4 Goals29.2%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals19.1%

Over 3.5 Goals16.6%

4+ Goals16.6%

Under 0.5 Goals12.0%

Exactly 0 Goals12.0%

Over 4.5 Goals6.4%

Over 5.5 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score77.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.2%

Home Clean Sheet52.3%

Away Team to Score47.7%

Home Win to Nil40.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.8%

Away Clean Sheet22.9%

Away Win to Nil10.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.577.1%

Away Exactly 052.3%

Away Over 0.547.7%

Home Over 1.543.3%

Away Exactly 133.9%

Home Exactly 133.8%

Home Exactly 224.9%

Home Exactly 022.9%

Home Over 2.518.5%

Home 3+ Goals18.5%

Away Over 1.513.8%

Away Exactly 211.0%

Away Over 2.52.8%

Away 3+ Goals2.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.5%

Home to win by 127.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 112.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.0%

Home to win by 3+12.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 23.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.552.9%

Home & No BTTS40.3%

Home & Under 2.530.7%

Home & Over 2.526.5%

BTTS & Over 2.525.3%

Draw & Under 2.523.4%

Home & BTTS16.9%

Draw & BTTS14.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

Away & No BTTS10.9%

Away & Under 2.510.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Away & Over 2.56.1%

Away & BTTS5.4%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.575.2%

HT Over 0.561.5%

HT Draw46.3%

2nd Half More Goals40.6%

HT Home Win39.4%

HT Under 0.538.5%

HT/FT Home/Home34.9%

1st Half More Goals29.8%

Equal Goals Each Half29.5%

HT Over 1.524.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.9%

HT Away Win14.3%

HT Both Teams Score12.3%

HT/FT Away/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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