Portugal · Primeira Liga

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente

Kick-off 20:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

SC Braga 62.0% Draw 20.9% GIL Vicente 17.1%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to SC Braga: 12 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: SC Braga 2 wins, 1 draws, GIL Vicente 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.1%

Exact-score model probability

SC Braga

D D W W W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 10:4 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.67

GIL Vicente

W L L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

SC Braga 2wins ·1 draws ·GIL Vicente 2wins

SC Braga 1-2 GIL VicenteFeb 14, 2026

SC Braga 0-1 GIL VicenteSep 14, 2025

SC Braga 2-0 GIL VicenteFeb 9, 2025

SC Braga 0-0 GIL VicenteSep 1, 2024

SC Braga 2-1 GIL VicenteMar 16, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Braga win62.0%

Draw20.9%

GIL Vicente win17.1%

Over 1.5 goals76.6%

Over 2.5 goals53.2%

Over 3.5 goals30.9%

Both teams to score49.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.2%

Home Team to Score

89.5%

Home Over 0.5

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.8%

Draw No Bet - Home83.9%

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Home Win68.5%

Both Halves Over 0.562.2%

Goal in Both Halves62.2%

Draw or Away (X2)31.4%

Draw18.3%

Draw No Bet - Away16.1%

Exactly 1 Goal13.6%

Away Win13.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Under 5.5 Goals90.2%

Over 1.5 Goals82.0%

Under 4.5 Goals79.2%

Under 3.5 Goals61.6%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals60.7%

1-3 Goals57.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.7%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.3%

Over 3.5 Goals38.4%

4+ Goals38.4%

1-2 Goals34.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals20.8%

Under 1.5 Goals18.0%

Over 5.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.5%

Away Team to Score58.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.6%

Home Clean Sheet41.5%

Home Win to Nil37.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.4%

Away Win to Nil6.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.5%

Home Over 1.565.9%

Away Over 0.558.4%

Away Exactly 041.5%

Home Over 2.539.3%

Home 3+ Goals39.3%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 123.6%

Away Over 1.522.0%

Away Exactly 216.0%

Home Exactly 010.4%

Away Over 2.55.9%

Away 3+ Goals5.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away54.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home45.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.7%

Home to win by 3+24.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.3%

Home to win by 123.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 220.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 19.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.547.7%

BTTS & Over 2.543.7%

Home & No BTTS37.2%

Home & BTTS31.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.7%

Home & Under 2.520.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.9%

Draw & BTTS13.9%

Draw & Under 2.512.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Away & Over 2.57.7%

Away & BTTS7.0%

Away & No BTTS6.1%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.7%

HT Under 1.558.7%

HT Home Win50.7%

HT/FT Home/Home45.9%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Over 1.541.3%

HT Draw35.2%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.3%

Equal Goals Each Half23.4%

HT Both Teams Score20.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.5%

HT Away Win14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Away/Away7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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