Portugal · Primeira Liga

SC Braga vs Vitória SC

Kick-off 20:15 · Mon, Aug 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

SC Braga 52.6% Draw 23.3% Vitória SC 24.0%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to SC Braga: 14 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

SC Braga

W D D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 10:2 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.33

Vitória SC

W L L L W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 2

SC Braga 0wins ·1 draws ·Vitória SC 1wins

SC Braga 0-0 Vitória SCFeb 16, 2025

SC Braga 0-2 Vitória SCSep 15, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Braga win52.6%

Draw23.3%

Vitória SC win24.0%

Over 1.5 goals73.8%

Over 2.5 goals49.7%

Over 3.5 goals27.7%

Both teams to score63.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.6%

Home Team to Score

87.2%

Home Over 0.5

87.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.5%

Home or Away (12)79.2%

Draw No Bet - Home76.7%

Both Halves Over 0.561.5%

Goal in Both Halves61.5%

Home Win60.7%

Draw or Away (X2)39.2%

Draw No Bet - Away23.3%

Draw20.8%

Away Win18.5%

Exactly 1 Goal14.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.5%

Under 5.5 Goals90.6%

Over 1.5 Goals81.5%

Under 4.5 Goals79.9%

Under 3.5 Goals62.5%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.8%

1-3 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.0%

Under 2.5 Goals40.2%

3-4 Goals39.7%

Over 3.5 Goals37.5%

4+ Goals37.5%

1-2 Goals35.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.7%

Over 4.5 Goals20.1%

Under 1.5 Goals18.5%

Over 5.5 Goals9.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.5%

Exactly 0 Goals4.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.2%

Away Team to Score64.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.6%

Home Clean Sheet35.3%

Home Win to Nil30.8%

Away Clean Sheet12.8%

Away Win to Nil8.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.2%

Away Over 0.564.7%

Home Over 1.560.9%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 035.3%

Home Over 2.533.8%

Home 3+ Goals33.8%

Away Over 1.528.0%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.3%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Home Exactly 012.8%

Away Over 2.58.8%

Away 3+ Goals8.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.5%

Home to win by 123.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.8%

Home to win by 3+18.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 218.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.9%

Away to win by 111.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.7%

Away to win by 24.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.546.8%

Home & Over 2.541.9%

Home & No BTTS30.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.5%

Home & BTTS30.0%

Home & Under 2.518.8%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

Draw & Under 2.514.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.1%

Away & Over 2.511.3%

Away & BTTS10.2%

BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

Away & No BTTS8.3%

Away & Under 2.57.1%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.2%

HT Under 1.559.4%

HT Home Win45.2%

2nd Half More Goals44.9%

HT Over 1.540.6%

HT/FT Home/Home39.3%

HT Draw36.8%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.524.8%

Equal Goals Each Half23.6%

HT Both Teams Score22.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.1%

HT Away Win18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.8%

HT/FT Away/Away10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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