UEFA Europa Conference League

SC Braga vs Železničar Pančevo

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

SC Braga 68.6% Draw 25.6% Železničar Pančevo 5.8%

Over 2.5 - 29% BTTS - 21%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 94%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 24.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

24.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

94%

Market agrees with this pick

SC Braga

W D D L D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Železničar Pančevo

Form 0-0-1 Goals 0:1 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

SC Braga 1wins ·0 draws ·Železničar Pančevo 0wins

SC Braga 1-0 Železničar PančevoJul 22, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Braga win68.6%

Draw25.6%

Železničar Pančevo win5.8%

Over 1.5 goals56.5%

Over 2.5 goals28.7%

Over 3.5 goals11.9%

Both teams to score21.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.2%

Under 3.5 Goals

88.1%

Over 0.5 Goals

84.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)93.3%

Draw No Bet - Home91.2%

Home or Away (12)76.3%

Home Win69.6%

Both Halves Over 0.536.4%

Goal in Both Halves36.4%

Draw or Away (X2)30.4%

Exactly 1 Goal28.9%

Draw23.7%

Draw No Bet - Away8.8%

Away Win6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.8%

Under 4.5 Goals95.9%

Under 3.5 Goals88.1%

Over 0.5 Goals84.5%

1-3 Goals72.6%

Under 2.5 Goals71.3%

1-2 Goals55.8%

Over 1.5 Goals55.6%

2-4 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even51.2%

Total Goals Odd48.8%

Under 1.5 Goals44.4%

2-3 Goals43.7%

Over 2.5 Goals28.7%

Exactly 2 Goals26.9%

3-4 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals16.7%

Under 0.5 Goals15.5%

Exactly 0 Goals15.5%

Over 3.5 Goals11.9%

4+ Goals11.9%

Over 4.5 Goals4.1%

Over 5.5 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)79.5%

Home Team to Score79.1%

Home Clean Sheet74.1%

Home Win to Nil58.6%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Away Clean Sheet20.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)20.5%

Away Win to Nil5.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.1%

Away Exactly 074.1%

Home Over 1.546.3%

Home Exactly 132.7%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Exactly 020.9%

Home Over 2.520.7%

Home 3+ Goals20.7%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw30.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.4%

Home to win by 130.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.1%

Home to win by 222.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.1%

Home to win by 3+17.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 15.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.564.1%

Home & No BTTS58.6%

Home & Under 2.543.2%

Home & Over 2.526.4%

Draw & Under 2.522.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.4%

BTTS & Over 2.513.2%

Home & BTTS11.0%

Draw & BTTS8.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Away & No BTTS5.4%

Away & Under 2.55.3%

Away & Over 2.51.4%

Away & BTTS1.3%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.579.5%

HT Over 0.556.8%

HT Draw47.4%

HT Home Win46.0%

HT/FT Home/Home43.8%

HT Under 0.543.2%

2nd Half More Goals39.0%

Equal Goals Each Half32.0%

1st Half More Goals29.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home24.6%

HT Over 1.520.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw19.5%

HT Away Win6.5%

HT Both Teams Score6.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

SC Braga win50%

Draw50%

Železničar Pančevo win0%

AdviceCombo Double chance : SC Braga or draw and -2.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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