Germany · Bundesliga

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

SC Freiburg 51.5% Draw 24.4% Borussia Mönchengladbach 24.0%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SC Freiburg: 12 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

SC Freiburg

W W W L W L

Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:9 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Borussia Mönchengladbach

L L W L W D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

SC Freiburg 4wins ·1 draws ·Borussia Mönchengladbach 0wins

SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachFeb 22, 2026

SC Freiburg 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachOct 5, 2025

SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachApr 12, 2025

SC Freiburg 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachNov 30, 2024

SC Freiburg 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachMar 30, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Freiburg win51.5%

Draw24.4%

Borussia Mönchengladbach win24.0%

Over 1.5 goals81.2%

Over 2.5 goals94.1%

Over 3.5 goals35.7%

Both teams to score79.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.9%

Home or Draw (1X)

88.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.6%

Draw No Bet - Home88.5%

Home or Away (12)87.4%

Both Halves Over 0.584.4%

Goal in Both Halves84.4%

Home Win77.3%

Draw or Away (X2)21.4%

Draw No Bet - Away11.5%

Draw11.3%

Away Win10.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals87.0%

Over 3.5 Goals73.5%

4+ Goals73.5%

Under 5.5 Goals61.3%

Over 4.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Under 4.5 Goals43.8%

Over 5.5 Goals38.7%

2-4 Goals38.7%

3-4 Goals30.7%

Under 3.5 Goals26.5%

1-3 Goals24.6%

2-3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 3 Goals13.5%

Under 2.5 Goals13.0%

1-2 Goals11.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.0%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score74.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.3%

Home Clean Sheet24.1%

Home Win to Nil23.5%

Away Clean Sheet2.5%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.9%

Away Over 0.574.6%

Home Over 2.569.8%

Home 3+ Goals69.8%

Away Over 1.540.6%

Away Exactly 134.0%

Away Exactly 024.1%

Away Exactly 224.0%

Home Exactly 217.1%

Away Over 2.516.7%

Away 3+ Goals16.7%

Home Exactly 19.3%

Home Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away72.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home61.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.1%

Home to win by 3+43.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)37.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away37.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)26.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home26.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 218.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 116.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 16.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 22.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.570.9%

BTTS & Over 2.569.5%

Home & BTTS53.8%

Home & No BTTS23.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.5%

Draw & BTTS10.7%

Away & Over 2.58.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.5%

Away & BTTS8.2%

Draw & Over 2.57.5%

Home & Under 2.56.4%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Away & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.9%

HT Over 1.566.7%

HT Home Win62.2%

HT/FT Home/Home57.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score38.0%

HT Under 1.533.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.9%

HT Away Win13.9%

HT Under 0.510.1%

HT/FT Away/Away5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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