Germany · Bundesliga

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04

Kick-off 16:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

SC Freiburg 47.1% Draw 32.7% FC Schalke 04 20.2%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SC Freiburg: 13 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

SC Freiburg

D W W W W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 15:7 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.17

FC Schalke 04

D W D L W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 2

SC Freiburg 2wins ·0 draws ·FC Schalke 04 0wins

SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04Apr 23, 2023

SC Freiburg 2-0 FC Schalke 04Oct 30, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Freiburg win47.1%

Draw32.7%

FC Schalke 04 win20.2%

Over 1.5 goals56.3%

Over 2.5 goals91.8%

Over 3.5 goals11.8%

Both teams to score68.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.6%

Home Over 1.5

88.6%

Home Win

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.6%

Home or Draw (1X)94.8%

Home or Away (12)91.6%

Home Win88.5%

Both Halves Over 0.581.6%

Goal in Both Halves81.6%

Draw or Away (X2)9.5%

Draw6.3%

Exactly 1 Goal4.2%

Draw No Bet - Away3.4%

Away Win3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals92.9%

Over 2.5 Goals83.0%

Under 5.5 Goals68.3%

Over 3.5 Goals67.5%

4+ Goals67.5%

Under 4.5 Goals50.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

2-4 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals33.9%

Under 3.5 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals31.7%

1-3 Goals29.6%

2-3 Goals25.4%

Under 2.5 Goals17.0%

Exactly 3 Goals15.5%

1-2 Goals14.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.9%

Under 1.5 Goals7.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score52.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.9%

Home Clean Sheet45.8%

Home Win to Nil45.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.9%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.588.6%

Home Over 2.573.8%

Home 3+ Goals73.8%

Away Over 0.552.1%

Away Exactly 045.8%

Away Exactly 134.8%

Away Over 1.517.3%

Home Exactly 214.8%

Away Exactly 213.2%

Home Exactly 17.5%

Away Over 2.54.1%

Away 3+ Goals4.1%

Home Exactly 01.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)88.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)76.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home76.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away73.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)59.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home59.1%

Home to win by 3+59.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away57.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home40.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away38.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home24.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away21.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 217.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 112.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.3%

Away to win by 12.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.0%

BTTS & Over 2.548.4%

Home & No BTTS45.0%

Home & BTTS43.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.534.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

Home & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & BTTS5.5%

Draw & Under 2.53.5%

Draw & Over 2.52.8%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Away & Over 2.52.2%

Away & BTTS2.1%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.1%

HT Home Win73.3%

HT/FT Home/Home71.4%

HT Over 1.562.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Under 1.537.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score24.1%

HT Draw20.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.9%

HT Under 0.511.9%

HT Away Win6.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Away/Away1.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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