UEFA Europa Conference League

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

SC Freiburg 20.0% Draw 20.7% Motherwell 59.3%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Motherwell: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

SC Freiburg

W L W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:10 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.67

Motherwell

L W D D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

SC Freiburg 1wins ·0 draws ·Motherwell 0wins

SC Freiburg 3-1 MotherwellAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Freiburg win20.0%

Draw20.7%

Motherwell win59.3%

Over 1.5 goals90.4%

Over 2.5 goals73.5%

Over 3.5 goals53.1%

Both teams to score69.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.1%

Away Over 0.5

91.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Draw or Away (X2)79.0%

Draw No Bet - Away74.2%

Both Halves Over 0.572.1%

Goal in Both Halves72.1%

Away Win60.2%

Home or Draw (1X)39.7%

Draw No Bet - Home25.8%

Home Win20.9%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal8.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.4%

Under 5.5 Goals81.3%

Over 2.5 Goals73.4%

Under 4.5 Goals66.4%

2-4 Goals55.8%

Over 3.5 Goals53.0%

4+ Goals53.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals47.0%

1-3 Goals44.7%

3-4 Goals39.8%

2-3 Goals36.3%

Over 4.5 Goals33.6%

Under 2.5 Goals26.6%

1-2 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 5.5 Goals18.7%

Exactly 2 Goals16.0%

Under 1.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.1%

Home Team to Score75.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.5%

Away Clean Sheet24.8%

Away Win to Nil22.6%

Home Clean Sheet8.8%

Home Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.1%

Home Over 0.575.1%

Away Over 1.569.7%

Away Over 2.543.7%

Away 3+ Goals43.7%

Home Over 1.540.6%

Home Exactly 134.6%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Home Exactly 024.8%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 121.4%

Home Over 2.516.5%

Home 3+ Goals16.5%

Away Exactly 08.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home78.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)60.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)39.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home39.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away21.5%

Away to win by 3+21.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.1%

Away to win by 121.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 217.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 112.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 25.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.0%

Home to win by 3+3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.1%

Away & Over 2.548.5%

Away & BTTS37.6%

Away & No BTTS22.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.1%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

Home & Over 2.515.7%

Home & BTTS14.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.3%

Away & Under 2.511.8%

Draw & Under 2.59.6%

Draw & Over 2.59.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Home & No BTTS6.6%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.1%

HT Over 1.551.3%

HT Under 1.548.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

HT Away Win46.6%

HT/FT Away/Away39.9%

HT Draw32.4%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Both Teams Score31.0%

HT Home Win21.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.9%

HT Under 0.517.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.3%

HT/FT Home/Home12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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