Germany · Bundesliga

SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin

Full time · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

SC Freiburg 62.0% Draw 22.0% Union Berlin 16.0%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 82%

✓ Pick was correct (2:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SC Freiburg: 10 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

SC Freiburg

W L L W D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:9 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Union Berlin

D D D W L L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

SC Freiburg 0wins ·2 draws ·Union Berlin 3wins

SC Freiburg 0-1 Union BerlinMar 15, 2026

SC Freiburg 0-0 Union BerlinNov 1, 2025

SC Freiburg 1-2 Union BerlinMar 30, 2025

SC Freiburg 0-0 Union BerlinNov 8, 2024

SC Freiburg 1-2 Union BerlinMay 18, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Freiburg win62.0%

Draw22.0%

Union Berlin win16.0%

Over 1.5 goals79.5%

Over 2.5 goals94.6%

Over 3.5 goals33.6%

Both teams to score81.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.3%

HT Over 0.5

86.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.6%

Home or Draw (1X)84.5%

Draw No Bet - Home82.2%

Both Halves Over 0.579.2%

Goal in Both Halves79.2%

Home Win69.6%

Draw or Away (X2)30.0%

Draw No Bet - Away17.8%

Away Win15.1%

Draw15.0%

Exactly 1 Goal5.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals93.3%

Over 2.5 Goals81.9%

Under 5.5 Goals71.3%

Over 3.5 Goals64.8%

4+ Goals64.8%

Under 4.5 Goals54.3%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals47.6%

Over 4.5 Goals45.7%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Under 3.5 Goals35.2%

1-3 Goals33.6%

Over 5.5 Goals28.7%

2-3 Goals28.5%

Under 2.5 Goals18.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.1%

1-2 Goals16.6%

Exactly 2 Goals11.5%

Under 1.5 Goals6.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score75.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.0%

Home Clean Sheet24.0%

Home Win to Nil22.8%

Away Clean Sheet4.8%

Away Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.580.3%

Away Over 0.575.6%

Home Over 2.558.2%

Home 3+ Goals58.2%

Away Over 1.541.5%

Away Exactly 134.1%

Away Exactly 224.3%

Away Exactly 024.0%

Home Exactly 222.1%

Away Over 2.517.2%

Away 3+ Goals17.2%

Home Exactly 114.5%

Home Exactly 04.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.0%

Home to win by 3+32.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 119.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.6%

Home to win by 218.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 18.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 24.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.0%

Home & Over 2.560.8%

Home & BTTS46.8%

Home & No BTTS22.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.8%

Draw & BTTS13.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.8%

Away & Over 2.512.3%

Away & BTTS11.4%

Home & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Away & No BTTS3.6%

Away & Under 2.52.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.6%

HT Over 1.559.7%

HT Home Win54.5%

HT/FT Home/Home48.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Under 1.540.3%

HT Both Teams Score35.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT Away Win17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.4%

HT Under 0.513.4%

HT/FT Away/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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