Germany · Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

SC Paderborn 07 36.7% Draw 29.9% 1899 Hoffenheim 33.5%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SC Paderborn 07: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

SC Paderborn 07

L L D W D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.83

1899 Hoffenheim

W L L L W D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 10:14 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Paderborn 07 win36.7%

Draw29.9%

1899 Hoffenheim win33.5%

Over 1.5 goals70.2%

Over 2.5 goals90.0%

Over 3.5 goals22.0%

Both teams to score85.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.9%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.5%

Away Team to Score

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.0%

Goal in Both Halves86.0%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)72.5%

Draw No Bet - Home67.4%

Home Win55.9%

Draw or Away (X2)43.6%

Draw No Bet - Away32.6%

Away Win27.0%

Draw16.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals89.5%

Over 3.5 Goals77.2%

4+ Goals77.2%

Over 4.5 Goals60.9%

Under 5.5 Goals56.4%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals43.6%

Under 4.5 Goals39.1%

2-4 Goals35.5%

3-4 Goals28.6%

Under 3.5 Goals22.8%

1-3 Goals21.7%

2-3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 3 Goals12.3%

Under 2.5 Goals10.5%

1-2 Goals9.5%

Exactly 2 Goals6.9%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score88.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.3%

Home Clean Sheet10.8%

Home Win to Nil10.3%

Away Clean Sheet4.5%

Away Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Away Over 0.588.7%

Home Over 1.581.1%

Away Over 1.564.7%

Home Over 2.559.5%

Home 3+ Goals59.5%

Away Over 2.538.0%

Away 3+ Goals38.0%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 124.0%

Home Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 113.9%

Away Exactly 010.8%

Home Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.9%

Home to win by 3+22.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.3%

Home to win by 215.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.6%

Away to win by 112.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 27.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 3+6.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.3%

Home & Over 2.552.0%

Home & BTTS45.5%

Away & Over 2.524.7%

Away & BTTS23.0%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

Home & No BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Away & No BTTS4.0%

Home & Under 2.53.9%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.9%

HT Over 1.569.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

HT Both Teams Score47.6%

HT Home Win46.1%

HT/FT Home/Home37.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.9%

HT Draw27.0%

HT Away Win26.9%

Equal Goals Each Half17.3%

HT/FT Away/Away16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT Under 0.59.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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