Germany · Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV

Full time · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

SC Paderborn 07 47.4% Draw 30.4% Hamburger SV 22.2%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 78%

✓ Pick was correct (1:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Hamburger SV: 5 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

SC Paderborn 07

D L W L L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Hamburger SV

W W W L L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 6:15 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

SC Paderborn 07 win47.4%

Draw30.4%

Hamburger SV win22.2%

Over 1.5 goals61.3%

Over 2.5 goals85.9%

Over 3.5 goals15.2%

Both teams to score77.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

92.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Home or Draw (1X)82.6%

Both Halves Over 0.582.3%

Goal in Both Halves82.3%

Draw No Bet - Home80.1%

Home Win67.7%

Draw or Away (X2)31.7%

Draw No Bet - Away19.9%

Away Win16.8%

Draw14.9%

Exactly 1 Goal3.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals85.4%

Over 3.5 Goals70.3%

4+ Goals70.3%

Under 5.5 Goals65.3%

Over 4.5 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals47.8%

2-4 Goals42.6%

Over 5.5 Goals34.7%

3-4 Goals33.2%

Under 3.5 Goals29.7%

1-3 Goals28.3%

2-3 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals15.1%

Under 2.5 Goals14.6%

1-2 Goals13.3%

Exactly 2 Goals9.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score80.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.3%

Home Clean Sheet19.4%

Home Win to Nil18.6%

Away Clean Sheet4.1%

Away Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 1.582.2%

Away Over 0.580.0%

Home Over 2.561.2%

Home 3+ Goals61.2%

Away Over 1.548.3%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Away Over 2.522.4%

Away 3+ Goals22.4%

Home Exactly 221.0%

Away Exactly 019.4%

Home Exactly 113.2%

Home Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.5%

Home to win by 3+31.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 19.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.7%

Away to win by 24.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.7%

Away to win by 3+2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.5%

Home & Over 2.561.1%

Home & BTTS49.1%

Home & No BTTS18.6%

Away & Over 2.514.4%

Draw & BTTS14.1%

Away & BTTS13.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.9%

Draw & Over 2.59.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.9%

Home & Under 2.56.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & No BTTS3.3%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.6%

HT Over 1.563.8%

HT Home Win53.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT/FT Home/Home47.6%

HT Both Teams Score39.6%

HT Under 1.536.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.0%

HT Away Win19.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT Under 0.511.4%

HT/FT Away/Away9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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