USA · Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Austin

● LIVE 22' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Seattle Sounders 68.4% Draw 17.9% Austin 13.7%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

59%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Austin: 0 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Seattle Sounders

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 3:14 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.33

Austin

L L L W L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:12 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

Seattle Sounders 0wins ·0 draws ·Austin 1wins

Seattle Sounders 1-3 AustinJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Seattle Sounders win68.4%

Draw17.9%

Austin win13.7%

Over 1.5 goals91.0%

Over 2.5 goals74.7%

Over 3.5 goals54.7%

Both teams to score66.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.9%

Under 11.5 Corners

86.3%

Home or Draw (1X)

85.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.3%

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Draw No Bet - Home82.6%

Both Halves Over 0.573.1%

Goal in Both Halves73.1%

Home Win69.1%

Draw or Away (X2)30.7%

Draw No Bet - Away17.4%

Draw16.2%

Away Win14.5%

Exactly 1 Goal7.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals80.1%

Over 2.5 Goals74.6%

Under 4.5 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals54.8%

Over 3.5 Goals54.6%

4+ Goals54.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.4%

1-3 Goals43.2%

3-4 Goals39.5%

2-3 Goals35.3%

Over 4.5 Goals35.1%

Under 2.5 Goals25.4%

1-2 Goals23.2%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Over 5.5 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.1%

Away Team to Score69.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.0%

Home Clean Sheet30.1%

Home Win to Nil28.1%

Away Clean Sheet6.7%

Away Win to Nil4.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 1.575.1%

Away Over 0.569.7%

Home Over 2.550.7%

Home 3+ Goals50.7%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Over 1.533.6%

Away Exactly 030.1%

Home Exactly 224.4%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 118.0%

Away Over 2.512.0%

Away 3+ Goals12.0%

Home Exactly 06.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)70.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away70.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)51.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away51.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)48.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home48.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.1%

Home to win by 3+29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 19.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.8%

Away to win by 23.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.5%

Home & Over 2.556.3%

Home & BTTS41.0%

Home & No BTTS28.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.1%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

Home & Under 2.512.8%

Away & Over 2.510.7%

Away & BTTS9.9%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS4.7%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Home Win53.0%

HT Over 1.552.5%

HT/FT Home/Home47.6%

HT Under 1.547.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw30.6%

HT Both Teams Score29.4%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.5%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT Away Win16.4%

HT/FT Away/Away8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners86.3%

Under 10.5 Corners78.1%

Under 9.5 Corners67.5%

Under 8.5 Corners54.6%

Home Most Corners47.5%

Over 8.5 Corners45.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners43.6%

Away Most Corners38.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners37.1%

Over 9.5 Corners32.5%

Over 10.5 Corners21.9%

Over 11.5 Corners13.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.1%

Over 2.5 Cards73.6%

Under 4.5 Cards66.1%

Over 3.5 Cards53.3%

Under 3.5 Cards46.7%

Over 4.5 Cards33.9%

Under 2.5 Cards26.4%

Over 5.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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