USA · Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Seattle Sounders 85.5% Draw 10.5% CF Montreal 4.0%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 11%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Seattle Sounders: 9 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11%

Exact-score model probability

Seattle Sounders

L W W D D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

CF Montreal

L L L L W D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Seattle Sounders win85.5%

Draw10.5%

CF Montreal win4.0%

Over 1.5 goals91.2%

Over 2.5 goals75.7%

Over 3.5 goals56.0%

Both teams to score48.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.0%

Under 4.5 Cards

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home94.9%

Home or Draw (1X)94.7%

Home or Away (12)90.0%

Home Win85.4%

Both Halves Over 0.574.0%

Goal in Both Halves74.0%

Draw or Away (X2)13.9%

Draw9.3%

Exactly 1 Goal7.4%

Draw No Bet - Away5.1%

Away Win4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals90.0%

Under 5.5 Goals79.5%

Over 2.5 Goals75.2%

Under 4.5 Goals63.9%

Over 3.5 Goals55.6%

4+ Goals55.6%

2-4 Goals54.0%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Under 3.5 Goals44.4%

1-3 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals39.2%

Over 4.5 Goals36.1%

2-3 Goals34.4%

Under 2.5 Goals24.8%

1-2 Goals22.2%

Over 5.5 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals19.6%

Exactly 2 Goals14.8%

Under 1.5 Goals10.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.1%

Away Team to Score49.8%

Home Clean Sheet49.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.9%

Home Win to Nil47.7%

Away Clean Sheet3.7%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Home Over 1.583.3%

Home Over 2.563.1%

Home 3+ Goals63.1%

Away Over 0.549.8%

Away Exactly 049.5%

Away Exactly 134.5%

Home Exactly 220.2%

Away Over 1.515.3%

Home Exactly 112.3%

Away Exactly 212.0%

Home Exactly 03.7%

Away Over 2.53.3%

Away 3+ Goals3.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)85.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home69.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away50.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home48.7%

Home to win by 3+48.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away30.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 220.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 116.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.5%

Away to win by 13.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.569.2%

Home & No BTTS47.7%

BTTS & Over 2.543.7%

Home & BTTS37.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.531.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.8%

Home & Under 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS7.4%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Away & Over 2.52.8%

Away & BTTS2.7%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.3%

HT Home Win67.1%

HT/FT Home/Home64.6%

HT Over 1.553.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.4%

HT Under 1.546.6%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw25.3%

HT Both Teams Score20.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.4%

HT Under 0.516.7%

HT Away Win7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Away/Away2.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners87.6%

Under 10.5 Corners79.9%

Under 9.5 Corners69.6%

Under 8.5 Corners56.9%

Away Most Corners54.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners46.8%

Over 8.5 Corners43.1%

Home Most Corners31.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners30.6%

Over 9.5 Corners30.4%

Over 10.5 Corners20.1%

Over 11.5 Corners12.4%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards95.8%

Under 4.5 Cards89.1%

Under 3.5 Cards75.8%

Under 2.5 Cards54.4%

Over 2.5 Cards45.6%

Over 3.5 Cards24.2%

Over 4.5 Cards10.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards10.0%

Over 5.5 Cards4.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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