USA · Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire

Kick-off 21:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

74% confidence

Seattle Sounders 12.6% Draw 13.8% Chicago Fire 73.6%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Chicago Fire: 1 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Seattle Sounders

D L L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Chicago Fire

W W W L L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:10 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Seattle Sounders win12.6%

Draw13.8%

Chicago Fire win73.6%

Over 1.5 goals96.6%

Over 2.5 goals88.1%

Over 3.5 goals74.4%

Both teams to score77.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.8%

Under 5.5 Cards

89.8%

Over 2.5 Goals

87.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)86.2%

Draw or Away (X2)86.1%

Draw No Bet - Away85.1%

Both Halves Over 0.584.4%

Goal in Both Halves84.4%

Away Win73.3%

Home or Draw (1X)25.6%

Draw No Bet - Home14.9%

Home Win12.9%

Draw12.8%

Exactly 1 Goal3.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals87.2%

Over 3.5 Goals73.6%

4+ Goals73.6%

Under 5.5 Goals61.2%

Over 4.5 Goals56.4%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals43.6%

Over 5.5 Goals38.8%

2-4 Goals38.8%

3-4 Goals30.8%

Under 3.5 Goals26.4%

1-3 Goals24.7%

2-3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 3 Goals13.6%

Under 2.5 Goals12.8%

1-2 Goals11.2%

Exactly 2 Goals8.0%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

Home Team to Score78.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.3%

Away Clean Sheet20.9%

Away Win to Nil20.3%

Home Clean Sheet2.9%

Home Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Away Over 1.585.7%

Home Over 0.578.1%

Away Over 2.567.4%

Away 3+ Goals67.4%

Home Over 1.545.6%

Home Exactly 132.5%

Home Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 020.9%

Home Over 2.520.3%

Home 3+ Goals20.3%

Away Exactly 218.3%

Away Exactly 110.4%

Away Exactly 02.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away86.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)73.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home60.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)56.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away56.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)42.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home42.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away38.3%

Away to win by 3+38.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home25.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.0%

Away to win by 218.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.5%

Home to win by 17.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.5%

Home to win by 23.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.9%

Home to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.3%

Away & Over 2.567.3%

Away & BTTS53.0%

Away & No BTTS20.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.8%

Draw & BTTS12.1%

Home & Over 2.511.2%

Home & BTTS10.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.4%

Away & Under 2.56.0%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Home & No BTTS2.3%

Home & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.8%

HT Over 1.566.6%

HT Away Win58.7%

HT/FT Away/Away53.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score40.0%

HT Under 1.533.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT Home Win16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.7%

HT Under 0.510.2%

HT/FT Home/Home7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners81.9%

Under 10.5 Corners72.6%

Under 9.5 Corners60.9%

Over 8.5 Corners52.2%

Away Most Corners49.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Under 8.5 Corners47.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Over 9.5 Corners39.1%

Home Most Corners36.7%

Over 10.5 Corners27.4%

Over 11.5 Corners18.1%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards89.8%

Under 4.5 Cards78.7%

Over 2.5 Cards61.3%

Under 3.5 Cards61.0%

Over 3.5 Cards39.0%

Under 2.5 Cards38.7%

Over 4.5 Cards21.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.7%

Over 5.5 Cards10.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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