USA · Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo

Kick-off 03:30 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Seattle Sounders 54.0% Draw 24.8% Houston Dynamo 21.2%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Seattle Sounders: 9 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.2%

Exact-score model probability

Seattle Sounders

D D L W W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Houston Dynamo

D D W D L D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Seattle Sounders win54.0%

Draw24.8%

Houston Dynamo win21.2%

Over 1.5 goals82.5%

Over 2.5 goals59.4%

Over 3.5 goals37.0%

Both teams to score59.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.3%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Home or Draw (1X)77.4%

Draw No Bet - Home71.0%

Both Halves Over 0.561.1%

Goal in Both Halves61.1%

Home Win55.3%

Draw or Away (X2)44.7%

Draw No Bet - Away29.0%

Away Win22.6%

Draw22.1%

Exactly 1 Goal14.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Under 5.5 Goals90.8%

Over 1.5 Goals81.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.3%

Under 3.5 Goals63.0%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.3%

1-3 Goals58.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.2%

Under 2.5 Goals40.7%

3-4 Goals39.6%

Over 3.5 Goals37.0%

4+ Goals37.0%

1-2 Goals36.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals19.7%

Under 1.5 Goals18.8%

Over 5.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals4.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.4%

Away Team to Score68.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.6%

Home Clean Sheet31.6%

Home Win to Nil26.9%

Away Clean Sheet14.6%

Away Win to Nil10.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.4%

Away Over 0.568.4%

Home Over 1.557.3%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 1.532.0%

Away Exactly 031.6%

Home Over 2.530.2%

Home 3+ Goals30.2%

Home Exactly 128.1%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 221.0%

Home Exactly 014.6%

Away Over 2.511.0%

Away 3+ Goals11.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.1%

Home to win by 123.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.3%

Home to win by 3+15.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.7%

Away to win by 3+2.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.2%

Home & Over 2.537.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.4%

Home & BTTS28.3%

Home & No BTTS26.9%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Home & Under 2.517.4%

Draw & Under 2.514.8%

Away & Over 2.514.2%

Away & BTTS12.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.2%

Away & No BTTS10.0%

Away & Under 2.58.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.9%

HT Under 1.559.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Home Win41.6%

HT Over 1.540.3%

HT Draw37.6%

HT/FT Home/Home35.1%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.1%

Equal Goals Each Half23.7%

HT Both Teams Score23.4%

HT Away Win20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.0%

HT/FT Away/Away12.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners84.9%

Under 10.5 Corners76.3%

Under 9.5 Corners65.3%

Under 8.5 Corners52.3%

Away Most Corners48.0%

Over 8.5 Corners47.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners45.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners38.4%

Home Most Corners38.2%

Over 9.5 Corners34.7%

Over 10.5 Corners23.7%

Over 11.5 Corners15.1%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards87.5%

Under 4.5 Cards75.0%

Over 2.5 Cards65.4%

Under 3.5 Cards56.6%

Over 3.5 Cards43.4%

Under 2.5 Cards34.6%

Over 4.5 Cards25.0%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.5%

Over 5.5 Cards12.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions