USA · Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City

● LIVE 24' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Seattle Sounders 64.7% Draw 17.6% Sporting Kansas City 17.7%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Seattle Sounders: 8 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Seattle Sounders

W D D D D D

Form 1-5-0 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Sporting Kansas City

W L W L L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 12:14 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 1

Seattle Sounders 0wins ·1 draws ·Sporting Kansas City 0wins

Seattle Sounders 1-1 Sporting Kansas CityMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Seattle Sounders win64.7%

Draw17.6%

Sporting Kansas City win17.7%

Over 1.5 goals94.5%

Over 2.5 goals82.5%

Over 3.5 goals65.6%

Both teams to score75.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.6%

HT Over 0.5

86.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.5%

Home or Draw (1X)81.3%

Both Halves Over 0.579.4%

Goal in Both Halves79.4%

Draw No Bet - Home78.0%

Home Win65.1%

Draw or Away (X2)34.6%

Draw No Bet - Away22.0%

Away Win18.4%

Draw16.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.5%

Over 2.5 Goals82.2%

Under 5.5 Goals70.7%

Over 3.5 Goals65.3%

4+ Goals65.3%

Under 4.5 Goals53.7%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals47.2%

Over 4.5 Goals46.3%

3-4 Goals35.9%

Under 3.5 Goals34.7%

1-3 Goals33.2%

Over 5.5 Goals29.3%

2-3 Goals28.2%

Under 2.5 Goals17.8%

Exactly 3 Goals16.9%

1-2 Goals16.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score78.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.3%

Home Clean Sheet20.8%

Home Win to Nil19.7%

Away Clean Sheet5.4%

Away Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Away Over 0.578.9%

Home Over 1.578.6%

Home Over 2.555.7%

Home 3+ Goals55.7%

Away Over 1.546.3%

Away Exactly 132.6%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 222.9%

Away Over 2.520.8%

Away Exactly 020.8%

Away 3+ Goals20.8%

Home Exactly 115.7%

Home Exactly 05.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home45.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.0%

Home to win by 3+28.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 119.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 217.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 110.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 25.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.9%

Away to win by 3+2.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.5%

Home & Over 2.557.1%

Home & BTTS45.5%

Home & No BTTS19.7%

Away & Over 2.515.3%

Draw & BTTS15.0%

Away & BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.9%

Home & Under 2.58.1%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & No BTTS4.2%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.8%

HT Over 1.560.0%

HT Home Win51.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT/FT Home/Home44.8%

HT Under 1.540.0%

HT Both Teams Score37.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.7%

HT Away Win20.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.8%

HT Under 0.513.2%

HT/FT Away/Away10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners92.1%

Under 10.5 Corners86.2%

Under 9.5 Corners77.6%

Under 8.5 Corners66.2%

Home Most Corners58.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners42.8%

Over 8.5 Corners33.8%

Away Most Corners27.9%

Over 9.5 Corners22.4%

Away Over 4.5 Corners22.1%

Over 10.5 Corners13.8%

Over 11.5 Corners7.9%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards85.2%

Under 4.5 Cards71.8%

Over 2.5 Cards68.7%

Under 3.5 Cards52.8%

Over 3.5 Cards47.2%

Under 2.5 Cards31.3%

Over 4.5 Cards28.2%

Over 5.5 Cards14.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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