USA · Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Kick-off 03:30 · Mon, Aug 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away Win

50% confidence

Seattle Sounders 28.0% Draw 22.0% Vancouver Whitecaps 50.0%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

Strong away form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 49%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring potential

82%

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS trend

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Seattle Sounders are struggling with a 1W 2D 6L record in their last 9 matches, while Vancouver Whitecaps have a 2W 4D 2L record. With Jesús Ferreira and Daniel Musovski, Seattle have some attacking threat, but Vancouver's defense has been solid. Vancouver's Emmanuel Sabbi will be a key player to watch. The away team's strong form and Seattle's struggles at home make them favorites.

💡

Top Tip

Vancouver Whitecaps to win

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Strong away form

Recent form leans to Vancouver Whitecaps: 0 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away Win

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

49%

Market does not fully agree

Seattle Sounders

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 3:14 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.33

Vancouver Whitecaps

D D L W L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 11:10 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Seattle Sounders win28.0%

Draw22.0%

Vancouver Whitecaps win50.0%

Over 1.5 goals0.0%

Over 2.5 goals86.0%

Over 3.5 goals0.0%

Both teams to score83.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.0%

Goal in Both Halves89.0%

Home or Away (12)85.5%

Draw or Away (X2)82.8%

Draw No Bet - Away82.0%

Away Win70.1%

Home or Draw (1X)28.1%

Draw No Bet - Home18.0%

Home Win15.4%

Draw12.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals91.3%

Over 3.5 Goals81.6%

4+ Goals81.6%

Over 4.5 Goals67.5%

Over 5.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Under 5.5 Goals49.0%

Under 4.5 Goals32.5%

2-4 Goals28.7%

3-4 Goals23.8%

Under 3.5 Goals18.4%

1-3 Goals16.3%

2-3 Goals14.6%

Exactly 3 Goals9.7%

Under 2.5 Goals8.7%

1-2 Goals6.7%

Exactly 2 Goals5.0%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score84.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.3%

Away Clean Sheet13.7%

Away Win to Nil13.4%

Home Clean Sheet2.1%

Home Win to Nil1.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.588.1%

Home Over 0.584.5%

Away Over 2.572.4%

Away 3+ Goals72.4%

Home Over 1.557.5%

Home Over 2.530.9%

Home 3+ Goals30.9%

Home Exactly 127.0%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 215.6%

Home Exactly 013.7%

Away Exactly 18.1%

Away Exactly 02.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home75.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)70.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home60.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)54.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away54.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)44.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home44.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away37.3%

Away to win by 3+37.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 216.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 116.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.2%

Home to win by 18.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.3%

Home to win by 24.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.9%

Home to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.5%

Away & Over 2.566.8%

Away & BTTS56.7%

Home & Over 2.514.3%

Home & BTTS13.6%

Away & No BTTS13.4%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.8%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Draw & Under 2.52.5%

BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Home & No BTTS1.8%

Home & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.8%

HT Over 1.573.8%

HT Away Win57.6%

HT/FT Away/Away51.6%

2nd Half More Goals51.1%

HT Both Teams Score48.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.2%

HT Draw23.5%

HT Home Win18.9%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.4%

HT/FT Home/Home9.0%

HT Under 0.57.2%

HT/FT Home/Away5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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