Spain · Copa del Rey

Sestao River vs Espanyol

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Oct 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Sestao River 46.7% Draw 26.0% Espanyol 27.3%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.6%

Exact-score model probability

Sestao River

No recent results stored yet

Espanyol

L L D L L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sestao River win46.7%

Draw26.0%

Espanyol win27.3%

Over 1.5 goals82.8%

Over 2.5 goals59.7%

Over 3.5 goals37.3%

Both teams to score62.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.7%

Home or Draw (1X)71.3%

Draw No Bet - Home62.6%

Both Halves Over 0.561.4%

Goal in Both Halves61.4%

Draw or Away (X2)51.9%

Home Win48.1%

Draw No Bet - Away37.4%

Away Win28.7%

Draw23.3%

Exactly 1 Goal14.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Under 5.5 Goals90.7%

Over 1.5 Goals81.4%

Under 4.5 Goals80.0%

Under 3.5 Goals62.7%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.7%

1-3 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.1%

Under 2.5 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals39.7%

Over 3.5 Goals37.3%

4+ Goals37.3%

1-2 Goals35.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.7%

Over 4.5 Goals20.0%

Under 1.5 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals4.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.0%

Away Team to Score73.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.2%

Home Clean Sheet26.7%

Home Win to Nil22.2%

Away Clean Sheet17.0%

Away Win to Nil12.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.0%

Away Over 0.573.3%

Home Over 1.552.8%

Away Over 1.538.0%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Home Exactly 130.1%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 026.7%

Home Over 2.526.2%

Home 3+ Goals26.2%

Away Exactly 223.3%

Home Exactly 017.0%

Away Over 2.514.7%

Away 3+ Goals14.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.9%

Home to win by 121.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 214.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.6%

Home to win by 3+11.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 28.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.2%

Away to win by 3+4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.2%

Home & Over 2.532.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.7%

Home & BTTS25.9%

Home & No BTTS22.2%

Away & Over 2.518.7%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Away & BTTS16.2%

Home & Under 2.515.2%

Draw & Under 2.515.2%

Away & No BTTS12.5%

BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

Away & Under 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.5%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.1%

HT Under 1.559.5%

2nd Half More Goals44.9%

HT Over 1.540.5%

HT Draw38.1%

HT Home Win37.0%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT/FT Home/Home29.7%

HT Under 0.524.9%

HT Away Win24.8%

HT Both Teams Score24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half23.6%

HT/FT Away/Away16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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