Spain · La Liga

Sevilla vs Osasuna

Kick-off 21:00 · Mon, Oct 26

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Sevilla 50.6% Draw 25.9% Osasuna 23.4%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Sevilla: 8 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Sevilla 1 wins, 2 draws, Osasuna 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Sevilla

L D L W W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Osasuna

W L D L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:17 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.83

Head to head · last 5

Sevilla 1wins ·2 draws ·Osasuna 2wins

Sevilla 1-2 OsasunaApr 26, 2026

Sevilla 1-0 OsasunaNov 8, 2025

Sevilla 0-1 OsasunaApr 24, 2025

Sevilla 1-1 OsasunaDec 2, 2024

Sevilla 1-1 OsasunaJan 28, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sevilla win50.6%

Draw25.9%

Osasuna win23.4%

Over 1.5 goals75.5%

Over 2.5 goals50.3%

Over 3.5 goals28.2%

Both teams to score83.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.2%

Home or Draw (1X)81.3%

Draw No Bet - Home77.8%

Both Halves Over 0.577.8%

Goal in Both Halves77.8%

Home Win64.7%

Draw or Away (X2)35.1%

Draw No Bet - Away22.2%

Away Win18.5%

Draw16.6%

Exactly 1 Goal5.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.7%

Over 2.5 Goals80.4%

Under 5.5 Goals73.4%

Over 3.5 Goals62.6%

4+ Goals62.6%

Under 4.5 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals49.4%

Over 4.5 Goals43.3%

Under 3.5 Goals37.4%

3-4 Goals37.1%

1-3 Goals35.8%

2-3 Goals30.1%

Over 5.5 Goals26.6%

Under 2.5 Goals19.6%

1-2 Goals18.0%

Exactly 3 Goals17.8%

Exactly 2 Goals12.3%

Under 1.5 Goals7.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.8%

Away Team to Score77.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.0%

Home Clean Sheet22.1%

Home Win to Nil20.8%

Away Clean Sheet5.9%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.8%

Away Over 0.577.7%

Home Over 1.577.0%

Home Over 2.553.3%

Home 3+ Goals53.3%

Away Over 1.544.4%

Away Exactly 133.3%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 223.7%

Away Exactly 022.1%

Away Over 2.519.3%

Away 3+ Goals19.3%

Home Exactly 116.8%

Home Exactly 05.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away54.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home45.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.0%

Home to win by 3+27.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 119.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.5%

Away to win by 110.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 25.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.4%

Home & Over 2.555.7%

Home & BTTS43.9%

Home & No BTTS20.8%

Draw & BTTS15.3%

Away & Over 2.515.0%

Away & BTTS13.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.7%

Home & Under 2.59.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.9%

BTTS & Under 2.55.6%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.8%

HT Over 1.558.0%

HT Home Win50.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.3%

HT/FT Home/Home44.2%

HT Under 1.542.0%

HT Both Teams Score35.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.4%

HT Away Win19.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.0%

HT Under 0.514.2%

HT/FT Away/Away10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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