UEFA Champions League
Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia
📊 Our Prediction
Away Win
65% confidence
Over 2.5 - 90%
BTTS - 84%
🎯 Best Pick
Away Win
Strong form
⚠️ Market disagrees
- bookies say 24%
⚠️ AIs disagree
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 2.5 Goals
High xG
Both Teams Score (GG)
BTTS rate high
🤖 AI Match Analysis
Shamrock Rovers are in poor form, losing 2 of their last 3 matches. Ararat-Armenia have a strong attacking threat, with a high xG. The absence of John McGovern will weaken Shamrock Rovers. The H2H significance is high, with Ararat-Armenia winning the previous match 2-0.
Top Tip
Ararat-Armenia are likely to win, given their strong form and attacking threat
📈 Probability Breakdown
Shamrock Rovers win20.0%
Draw15.0%
Ararat-Armenia win65.0%
Over 1.5 goals97.1%
Over 2.5 goals89.7%
Over 3.5 goals76.7%
Both teams to score83.9%
🎯 Full Market Board
Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.
HT Over 0.5
90.6%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)
89.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
88.7%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.585.5%
Goal in Both Halves85.5%
Home or Away (12)84.2%
Draw or Away (X2)79.6%
Draw No Bet - Away76.7%
Away Win64.6%
Home or Draw (1X)34.7%
Draw No Bet - Home23.3%
Home Win19.6%
Draw15.0%
Exactly 1 Goal2.8%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.7%
Over 1.5 Goals96.0%
Over 2.5 Goals88.7%
Over 3.5 Goals76.1%
4+ Goals76.1%
Over 4.5 Goals59.5%
Under 5.5 Goals58.0%
Total Goals Odd49.6%
Total Goals Even49.6%
Over 5.5 Goals42.0%
Under 4.5 Goals40.5%
2-4 Goals36.5%
3-4 Goals29.3%
Under 3.5 Goals23.9%
1-3 Goals22.6%
2-3 Goals19.9%
Exactly 3 Goals12.7%
Under 2.5 Goals11.3%
1-2 Goals10.0%
Exactly 2 Goals7.2%
Under 1.5 Goals4.0%
Under 0.5 Goals1.3%
Exactly 0 Goals0.5%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score95.7%
Home Team to Score84.7%
Both Teams Score (GG)81.6%
No Both Teams Score (NG)18.4%
Away Clean Sheet14.6%
Away Win to Nil14.1%
Home Clean Sheet3.6%
Home Win to Nil3.0%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.595.7%
Home Over 0.584.7%
Away Over 1.583.8%
Away Over 2.564.0%
Away 3+ Goals64.0%
Home Over 1.556.7%
Home Over 2.529.8%
Home 3+ Goals29.8%
Home Exactly 128.0%
Home Exactly 226.8%
Away Exactly 219.8%
Home Exactly 014.6%
Away Exactly 111.9%
Away Exactly 03.6%
Handicap & Margin (12)
Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.8%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)52.4%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)46.9%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.0%
Away to win by 3+30.0%
Away to win by 117.7%
Away to win by 216.9%
Home to win by 110.2%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.4%
Home to win by 25.6%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%
Home to win by 3+3.9%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.578.3%
Away & Over 2.559.9%
Away & BTTS50.5%
Home & Over 2.517.7%
Home & BTTS16.6%
Draw & BTTS14.5%
Away & No BTTS14.1%
Draw & Over 2.511.1%
No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%
No BTTS & Under 2.57.2%
Away & Under 2.54.7%
Draw & Under 2.53.9%
BTTS & Under 2.53.4%
Home & No BTTS3.0%
Home & Under 2.52.0%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.590.6%
HT Over 1.568.3%
HT Away Win52.2%
2nd Half More Goals50.1%
HT/FT Away/Away45.3%
HT Both Teams Score44.9%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT Under 1.531.7%
HT Draw26.2%
HT Home Win21.6%
Equal Goals Each Half17.5%
HT/FT Draw/Away14.5%
HT/FT Home/Home11.6%
HT Under 0.59.4%
HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%
HT/FT Draw/Home5.6%
HT/FT Home/Away5.5%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%
HT/FT Away/Home2.4%
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.