UEFA Europa League

Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Aug 4

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

96% confidence

Shamrock Rovers 25.0% Draw 20.0% Egnatia Rrogozhinë 55.0%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring teams

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 39%

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

85%

Away Team to Score

Egnatia scoring form

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Shamrock Rovers face a tough test against Egnatia Rrogozhinë, with the away team having a strong scoring record. Egnatia's ability to score, combined with Shamrock Rovers' home form, suggests a high-scoring match. The absence of key players for Shamrock Rovers could impact their defensive strength. With both teams likely to score, the match is set for an exciting encounter. 5 Goals is the top pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 96.3% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring teams

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.75 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

96.3%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Shamrock Rovers high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Egnatia Rrogozhinë high-scoring games

75%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Bookmaker implied chance

39%

Market does not fully agree

Shamrock Rovers

W L W L

Form 2-0-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.75 Conceded/game 1.5

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

D D W D

Form 1-3-0 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 1.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Shamrock Rovers win25.0%

Draw20.0%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win55.0%

Over 1.5 goals99.8%

Over 2.5 goals96.3%

Over 3.5 goals95.6%

Both teams to score96.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.1%

Over 3.5 Goals

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.596.1%

Goal in Both Halves96.1%

Home or Away (12)81.5%

Draw or Away (X2)66.1%

Draw No Bet - Away64.5%

Away Win52.6%

Home or Draw (1X)42.4%

Draw No Bet - Home35.5%

Home Win28.9%

Draw13.5%

Exactly 1 Goal0.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals93.6%

Over 3.5 Goals90.8%

4+ Goals90.8%

Over 4.5 Goals85.2%

Over 5.5 Goals76.1%

Total Goals Odd47.5%

Total Goals Even47.5%

Under 5.5 Goals23.9%

Under 4.5 Goals14.8%

2-4 Goals9.5%

Under 3.5 Goals9.2%

3-4 Goals8.5%

Under 2.5 Goals6.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

1-3 Goals4.1%

2-3 Goals3.9%

Exactly 3 Goals2.8%

1-2 Goals1.3%

Exactly 2 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.9%

Home Team to Score92.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.8%

Away Win to Nil2.8%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.9%

Home Over 0.592.2%

Away Over 1.588.9%

Home Over 1.582.2%

Away Over 2.577.8%

Away 3+ Goals77.8%

Home Over 2.564.6%

Home 3+ Goals64.6%

Home Exactly 217.6%

Away Exactly 211.1%

Home Exactly 110.0%

Away Exactly 14.9%

Home Exactly 02.8%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)80.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home80.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home69.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)56.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home56.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away38.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.2%

Away to win by 3+25.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 114.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 213.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.2%

Home to win by 111.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.7%

Home to win by 3+9.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 28.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.6%

Away & Over 2.552.1%

Away & BTTS49.7%

Home & Over 2.528.6%

Home & BTTS27.8%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.1%

Away & No BTTS2.8%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.50.8%

Draw & Under 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

BTTS & Under 2.50.5%

Home & Under 2.50.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.597.3%

HT Over 1.587.5%

HT Both Teams Score69.0%

2nd Half More Goals54.0%

HT Away Win48.1%

HT/FT Away/Away38.9%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Home Win30.5%

HT Draw21.4%

HT/FT Home/Home18.9%

Equal Goals Each Half13.8%

HT Under 1.512.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.7%

HT/FT Home/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT Under 0.52.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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