UEFA Europa Conference League

Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

Shamrock Rovers 76.7% Draw 12.9% KuPS 10.4%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Shamrock Rovers: 9 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Shamrock Rovers

L W W L W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

KuPS

L D L L L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Shamrock Rovers win76.7%

Draw12.9%

KuPS win10.4%

Over 1.5 goals96.2%

Over 2.5 goals87.1%

Over 3.5 goals72.7%

Both teams to score73.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.3%

Home or Draw (1X)

88.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.2%

Draw No Bet - Home87.7%

Home or Away (12)87.0%

Both Halves Over 0.583.5%

Goal in Both Halves83.5%

Home Win76.3%

Draw or Away (X2)22.6%

Draw No Bet - Away12.3%

Draw11.9%

Away Win10.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals86.1%

Over 3.5 Goals71.9%

4+ Goals71.9%

Under 5.5 Goals63.3%

Over 4.5 Goals54.2%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Under 4.5 Goals45.8%

2-4 Goals40.5%

Over 5.5 Goals36.7%

3-4 Goals31.9%

Under 3.5 Goals28.1%

1-3 Goals26.3%

2-3 Goals22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.2%

Under 2.5 Goals13.9%

1-2 Goals12.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score74.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.6%

Home Clean Sheet24.4%

Home Win to Nil23.7%

Away Clean Sheet2.8%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.0%

Away Over 0.574.5%

Home Over 2.568.0%

Home 3+ Goals68.0%

Away Over 1.540.4%

Away Exactly 134.1%

Away Exactly 024.4%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Home Exactly 218.0%

Away Over 2.516.5%

Away 3+ Goals16.5%

Home Exactly 110.1%

Home Exactly 02.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)59.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home59.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.4%

Home to win by 3+41.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away39.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away22.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.5%

Away to win by 16.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.569.4%

BTTS & Over 2.568.9%

Home & BTTS52.6%

Home & No BTTS23.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.2%

Draw & BTTS11.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Over 2.59.0%

Away & BTTS8.6%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

Home & Under 2.56.9%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Over 1.565.4%

HT Home Win61.0%

HT/FT Home/Home56.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score37.3%

HT Under 1.534.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT Away Win14.4%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT/FT Away/Away6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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