England · Championship

Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Sheffield Utd 5.0% Draw 13.5% Birmingham 81.5%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 44%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 95% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 5.0% on the only losing outcome.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

95%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

Only the uncovered result loses

Sheffield Utd

W W L L L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 7:13 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.17

Birmingham

W D

Form 1-1-0 Goals 2:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sheffield Utd win5.0%

Draw13.5%

Birmingham win81.5%

Over 1.5 goals86.3%

Over 2.5 goals66.3%

Over 3.5 goals44.5%

Both teams to score44.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

89.4%

Home or Away (12)

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)94.1%

Draw No Bet - Away93.5%

Home or Away (12)87.8%

Away Win82.1%

Both Halves Over 0.566.6%

Goal in Both Halves66.6%

Home or Draw (1X)17.7%

Draw12.0%

Exactly 1 Goal11.2%

Draw No Bet - Home6.5%

Home Win5.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.0%

Over 1.5 Goals85.3%

Under 4.5 Goals74.3%

Over 2.5 Goals66.2%

2-4 Goals59.6%

Under 3.5 Goals55.6%

1-3 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals44.4%

4+ Goals44.4%

2-3 Goals40.9%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.8%

1-2 Goals30.3%

Over 4.5 Goals25.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.1%

Under 1.5 Goals14.7%

Over 5.5 Goals13.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.7%

Away Clean Sheet53.6%

Away Win to Nil50.3%

Home Team to Score46.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.3%

Home Clean Sheet6.1%

Home Win to Nil2.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.7%

Away Over 1.576.6%

Home Exactly 053.6%

Away Over 2.552.8%

Away 3+ Goals52.8%

Home Over 0.546.1%

Home Exactly 133.3%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 117.0%

Home Over 1.512.9%

Home Exactly 210.3%

Away Exactly 06.1%

Home Over 2.52.5%

Home 3+ Goals2.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away94.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)82.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home77.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)62.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away62.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home59.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)40.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away40.3%

Away to win by 3+40.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)37.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home37.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw22.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.1%

Away to win by 222.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.8%

Away to win by 119.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw18.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home17.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.4%

Home to win by 14.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.1%

Home to win by 21.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.560.1%

Away & No BTTS50.3%

BTTS & Over 2.537.7%

Away & BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.528.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.9%

Away & Under 2.522.0%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

Draw & BTTS8.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Home & Over 2.53.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

Home & BTTS2.9%

Home & No BTTS2.8%

Home & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.5%

HT Away Win62.2%

HT/FT Away/Away59.4%

HT Under 1.554.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.5%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Draw29.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.2%

HT Under 0.521.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.1%

HT Both Teams Score17.5%

HT Home Win8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Home/Home3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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