England · Championship

Sheffield Utd vs Bolton

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Sep 1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Sheffield Utd 19.6% Draw 39.2% Bolton 41.2%

Over 2.5 - 18% BTTS - 27%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 22.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sheffield Utd: 12 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

22.9%

Exact-score model probability

Sheffield Utd

D W D D W W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

Bolton

L D W L

Form 1-1-2 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 0.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sheffield Utd win19.6%

Draw39.2%

Bolton win41.2%

Over 1.5 goals44.8%

Over 2.5 goals18.4%

Over 3.5 goals6.2%

Both teams to score27.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

85.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

84.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

84.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)78.9%

Draw No Bet - Away66.9%

Home or Away (12)63.8%

Home or Draw (1X)57.3%

Away Win42.7%

Draw36.2%

Exactly 1 Goal33.8%

Draw No Bet - Home33.1%

Both Halves Over 0.526.9%

Goal in Both Halves26.9%

Home Win21.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.6%

Under 4.5 Goals98.3%

Under 3.5 Goals93.8%

Under 2.5 Goals81.6%

Over 0.5 Goals77.1%

1-3 Goals70.8%

1-2 Goals58.6%

Under 1.5 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Even52.6%

Total Goals Odd47.4%

Over 1.5 Goals43.3%

2-4 Goals41.5%

2-3 Goals37.1%

Exactly 2 Goals24.9%

Under 0.5 Goals22.9%

Exactly 0 Goals22.9%

Over 2.5 Goals18.4%

3-4 Goals16.7%

Exactly 3 Goals12.2%

Over 3.5 Goals6.2%

4+ Goals6.2%

Over 4.5 Goals1.7%

Over 5.5 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)74.5%

Away Team to Score60.1%

Away Clean Sheet57.6%

Home Team to Score42.4%

Home Clean Sheet39.9%

Away Win to Nil34.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)25.5%

Home Win to Nil16.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.560.1%

Home Exactly 057.6%

Home Over 0.542.4%

Away Exactly 039.9%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 131.8%

Away Over 1.523.5%

Away Exactly 216.9%

Home Over 1.510.6%

Home Exactly 28.8%

Away Over 2.56.6%

Away 3+ Goals6.6%

Home Over 2.51.9%

Home 3+ Goals1.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw26.9%

Away to win by 126.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 116.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 211.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.3%

Away to win by 3+4.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.1%

Home to win by 24.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.569.9%

Draw & Under 2.534.6%

Away & No BTTS34.6%

Away & Under 2.530.8%

Home & No BTTS16.9%

Home & Under 2.516.2%

BTTS & Over 2.513.9%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Away & Over 2.511.9%

BTTS & Under 2.511.7%

Away & BTTS8.1%

Home & Over 2.55.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.6%

Home & BTTS4.2%

Draw & Over 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.585.7%

HT Draw57.0%

HT Under 0.551.6%

HT Over 0.548.4%

Equal Goals Each Half37.0%

2nd Half More Goals35.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw29.4%

HT Away Win27.7%

1st Half More Goals27.2%

HT/FT Away/Away23.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.9%

HT Home Win15.3%

HT Over 1.514.3%

HT/FT Home/Home10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.7%

HT Both Teams Score7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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