England · Championship

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Sheffield Utd 58.2% Draw 20.6% Norwich 21.2%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sheffield Utd: 12 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Sheffield Utd

W D W D D W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

Norwich

L W W L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sheffield Utd win58.2%

Draw20.6%

Norwich win21.2%

Over 1.5 goals91.3%

Over 2.5 goals75.2%

Over 3.5 goals55.4%

Both teams to score71.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.4%

Home Over 0.5

91.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Home or Draw (1X)77.8%

Both Halves Over 0.573.5%

Goal in Both Halves73.5%

Draw No Bet - Home72.8%

Home Win59.1%

Draw or Away (X2)40.8%

Draw No Bet - Away27.2%

Away Win22.1%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal7.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.3%

Under 5.5 Goals79.6%

Over 2.5 Goals75.1%

Under 4.5 Goals64.2%

Over 3.5 Goals55.3%

4+ Goals55.3%

2-4 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals44.7%

1-3 Goals42.6%

3-4 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.8%

2-3 Goals35.0%

Under 2.5 Goals24.9%

1-2 Goals22.8%

Over 5.5 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals19.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.1%

Under 1.5 Goals9.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.4%

Away Team to Score77.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.5%

Home Clean Sheet22.8%

Home Win to Nil20.9%

Away Clean Sheet8.5%

Away Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.4%

Away Over 0.577.1%

Home Over 1.570.4%

Home Over 2.544.5%

Home 3+ Goals44.5%

Away Over 1.543.4%

Away Exactly 133.7%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Away Exactly 224.9%

Away Exactly 022.8%

Home Exactly 121.0%

Away Over 2.518.5%

Away 3+ Goals18.5%

Home Exactly 08.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.1%

Home to win by 3+21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 120.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 217.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 112.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 26.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.4%

Away to win by 3+3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.4%

Home & Over 2.548.4%

Home & BTTS38.2%

Home & No BTTS20.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.7%

Away & Over 2.517.1%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Away & BTTS15.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.8%

Home & Under 2.510.7%

Draw & Over 2.59.7%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & No BTTS6.6%

Away & Under 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.0%

HT Over 1.552.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Under 1.547.1%

HT Home Win46.1%

HT/FT Home/Home39.1%

HT Both Teams Score32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw32.0%

HT Away Win21.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT Under 0.517.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.9%

HT/FT Away/Away12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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