England · Championship

Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham

Kick-off 21:00 · Fri, Oct 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Sheffield Utd 70.5% Draw 15.6% Wrexham 13.9%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Sheffield Utd

D W L W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Wrexham

L W L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:13 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sheffield Utd win70.5%

Draw15.6%

Wrexham win13.9%

Over 1.5 goals95.0%

Over 2.5 goals83.8%

Over 3.5 goals67.5%

Both teams to score73.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.3%

HT Over 0.5

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.1%

Home or Away (12)85.1%

Draw No Bet - Home83.1%

Both Halves Over 0.580.6%

Goal in Both Halves80.6%

Home Win70.7%

Draw or Away (X2)28.7%

Draw No Bet - Away16.9%

Away Win14.4%

Draw14.3%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.9%

Over 2.5 Goals83.4%

Under 5.5 Goals68.8%

Over 3.5 Goals67.2%

4+ Goals67.2%

Under 4.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 4.5 Goals48.5%

2-4 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals34.9%

Under 3.5 Goals32.8%

1-3 Goals31.3%

Over 5.5 Goals31.2%

2-3 Goals26.7%

Under 2.5 Goals16.6%

Exactly 3 Goals16.2%

1-2 Goals15.1%

Exactly 2 Goals10.5%

Under 1.5 Goals6.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

Away Team to Score76.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.1%

Home Clean Sheet23.3%

Home Win to Nil22.3%

Away Clean Sheet4.2%

Away Win to Nil3.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Home Over 1.581.9%

Away Over 0.576.2%

Home Over 2.560.7%

Home 3+ Goals60.7%

Away Over 1.542.4%

Away Exactly 133.8%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 023.3%

Home Exactly 221.1%

Away Over 2.517.8%

Away 3+ Goals17.8%

Home Exactly 113.4%

Home Exactly 04.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)65.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away65.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home52.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)47.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away47.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.7%

Home to win by 3+33.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 118.5%

Home to win by 218.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 23.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.0%

Away to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.4%

Home & Over 2.562.7%

Home & BTTS48.4%

Home & No BTTS22.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.0%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Away & Over 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

Away & BTTS11.1%

Draw & Over 2.58.8%

Home & Under 2.58.1%

Draw & Under 2.55.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS3.2%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.5%

HT Over 1.561.5%

HT Home Win55.7%

HT/FT Home/Home50.1%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Under 1.538.5%

HT Both Teams Score36.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT Away Win17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.3%

HT Under 0.512.5%

HT/FT Away/Away8.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions