England · League Cup

Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Sheffield Wednesday 67.4% Draw 19.0% Bolton 13.6%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 56%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

56%

Market does not fully agree

Sheffield Wednesday

Form 1-0-0 Goals 2:1 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Bolton

No recent results stored yet

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sheffield Wednesday win67.4%

Draw19.0%

Bolton win13.6%

Over 1.5 goals88.7%

Over 2.5 goals70.2%

Over 3.5 goals49.1%

Both teams to score62.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.9%

Home Over 0.5

91.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.3%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Draw No Bet - Home82.4%

Both Halves Over 0.569.5%

Goal in Both Halves69.5%

Home Win68.3%

Draw or Away (X2)31.6%

Draw No Bet - Away17.6%

Draw17.1%

Away Win14.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.6%

Under 5.5 Goals84.1%

Under 4.5 Goals70.2%

Over 2.5 Goals70.1%

2-4 Goals57.8%

Under 3.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.0%

4+ Goals49.0%

1-3 Goals48.2%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.6%

Under 2.5 Goals29.9%

Over 4.5 Goals29.8%

1-2 Goals27.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.5%

Over 5.5 Goals15.9%

Under 1.5 Goals12.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.9%

Away Team to Score66.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.7%

Home Clean Sheet33.2%

Home Win to Nil30.6%

Away Clean Sheet8.0%

Away Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.9%

Home Over 1.571.8%

Away Over 0.566.6%

Home Over 2.546.3%

Home 3+ Goals46.3%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 033.2%

Away Over 1.530.1%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 120.2%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Away Over 2.59.9%

Away 3+ Goals9.9%

Home Exactly 08.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.1%

Home to win by 3+27.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.5%

Home to win by 121.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 219.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 19.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.5%

Away to win by 3+1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.9%

Home & Over 2.553.1%

Home & BTTS37.7%

Home & No BTTS30.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.2%

Home & Under 2.515.2%

Draw & BTTS14.4%

Draw & Under 2.510.0%

Away & Over 2.510.0%

Away & BTTS9.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.0%

Away & No BTTS5.3%

Away & Under 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.5%

HT Home Win51.8%

HT Under 1.551.4%

HT Over 1.548.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT/FT Home/Home46.4%

HT Draw32.2%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score26.5%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.1%

HT Away Win16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Away/Away8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Sheffield Wednesday win50%

Draw50%

Bolton win0%

AdviceDouble chance : Sheffield Wednesday or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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